Kenya vs Cameroon prediction

Kenya will look to continue their solid start to this AFCON campaign when they welcome West African giants in the reverse group fixture on Monday 14th October 2024. They are third behind Cameroon and Zimbabwe in Group J after splitting their opening three group games (1W, 1D, 1L). This match offers coach Engin Firat’s charges a chance to get back in contention if they can claim all three points on offer here

Cameroon failed to make their dominance against Zimbabwe count as the two teams played out to a dour 0-0 stalemate to claim a share of the points at the Nelson Mandela National Stadium. The West Africans had 60% possession but failed to muster a single shot on target and could easily have come up trumps were it not for Andre Onana keeping the hosts in check. Coach Rigobert Song got the response he wanted as they made light work of Kenya on Friday winning 4-1 and he will be demanding the same mentality here.

After that one-sided first leg on Friday, we expect a much tighter encounter with neither team looking to cede too much ground. We are therefore backing a cagey match here and we are picking Under 2.5 Goals as our opening Kenya vs Cameroon prediction for this match

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Main Tip: Under 2.5 Goals

Our Kenya vs Cameroon predictions

According to the statistics and the odds of the bookmakers, we suggest the following tips:

Prediction 1: Under 2.5 Goals

Here are 3 reasons why we are backing this match to have fewer than 3 total goals scored:

• H2H average in 4 matches is just 2.20 goals a match
• 6 of the last 7 matches for Kenya have had fewer than 3 goals
• 4 of the last 5 matches for Cameroon have also had fewer than 3 goals

Odds for this bet

1Win offers competitive odds for the bet “Under 2.5 Goals”

The odd of 1.47 means that the bookmakers are calculating with a likelihood of approx. 68% chance that this match will have no more than 2 total goals scored

Odds comparison for Under 2.5 Goals

1Win – odd 1.47
Bet365 – odd 1.45

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Prediction 2: 1st Half Draw

3 reasons why we are backing this match to end in a stalemate in the opening half:

• Kenya’s last 3 matches including both group games were drawn at the break
• 2 of Cameroon’s last 3 matches have also been level at halftime
• 2 of their last 3 H2H meetings also ended in a draw at halftime
• With just a few points separating the top three teams, we expect a close start to the game before it can open up in the closing half

Odds for this bet

Paripesa offers competitive odds for “1st Half Draw”

The odd of 1.95 means that the bookmakers are calculating with a likelihood of approx. 51% that the opening half of this game will end in a draw

Odds comparisons 1st Half Draw

Paripesa – odd 1.95
Betwinner – odd 1.93

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Prediction 3: Over 3.5 Bookings

Here’s why we feel there is value in picking this match to have at least 4 bookings

• Given the tussle for group leadership, a physical encounter with potential for bookings is expected here
• Both teams last matches witnessed at least 4 bookings
• Cameroon have received at least 2 bookings in 2 of their last 3 away matches; Kenya have also had at least 2 bookings in 3 of their 5 home games

Statistics for Kenya vs Cameroon Prediction

Team News Kenya

• Major Boost: Kenya have been handed a huge fitness boost with captain Michael Olunga set to return to action after missing the opening two qualifiers injured
• Debut: Midfielder David Odeyo has been handed his maiden call-up to the visitors’ senior team following an impressive start to the domestic Kenya Premier League (KPL) season.
• Dropped: The biggest talking point on Firat’s team selection remains the exclusion of KPL top scorer Benson Omalla

Team News Cameroon

• On fire: Brentford forward Bryan Mbeumo is scoring goals for fun at the moment and Cameroon will be counting on him to translate his club form – currently on a three-game scoring streak – for the country
• Chasing History: Skipper Vincent Aboubakar is just three goals short of Roger Milla in second place on the hosts’ all-time scoring charts behind the legendary Samuel Eto’o
• Debut: Eric Junior Dina Ebimbe was named in the preliminary squad and he could get his national team debut here off the bench  
   

H2H statistics

These teams have met 5 times:

• Cameroon have won four and the other ended in a draw
• The average goals scored in these games was 2.25
• Cameroon won the last meeting 4-1 last week

Latest results Kenya

• 2 wins, a draw and 2 losses in the last 5 matches
• 6 goals scored in these last 5 matches. Average 1.20 goals per match
• Lost 4-1 away to Cameroon in their last match

Latest results Cameroon

• 3 wins and 2 draws in their last 5 matches
• 10 goals scored in these last 5 matches. Average of 2.00 goals per match
• Thrashed Kenya 4-1 at home in their last match

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