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Arsenal - Bolton
EFL Cup
Wed, 25.09.2024 – 9:45 PM GMT+3
our main tip:
HC - 3.5 Bolton Win

Arsenal vs Bolton prediction

The Gunners have gone two games without a win in two different competitions. They had a goalless draw in Italy against Atalanta, followed by a 2-2 draw against the defending champions of the EPL, Manchester City. Mikel Arteta’s team went down 1-0 in the 9th minute, but Calafiori marked his start for Arsenal with an equalizer in the 22nd minute. Deep in the closing of the first half, Saka’s cross saw Gabriel jump highest to give the Gunners the lead. Six minutes into injury time, Trossard received a second yellow and was sent off. Arteta was forced to make quick changes and defend his lead, but Stones’ late goal ended the game level. Arsenal will now focus on the EFL Cup 1/16 against a League 1 side, a team they last faced in 2012, Bolton.

The visitors’ previous outing was a 7-goal thriller in a match they won 5-2 against Reading. Irish forward Dion Charles’s first-half hat-trick saw him reach four goals in six games they have played this season, just one goal behind Mansfield Gregory who has five goals and is leading the golden race. The recent result followed a 4-0 defeat at home against Huddersfield and made it a third win out of the previous five games played. Ian Evatt’s men will now hope to get past one of the world’s elite teams in the EFL round of 1/16, with two consecutive away wins, certainly, they will travel with confidence to the Emirates Stadium.

This could be a breather for the Gunners to end their run of two winless games. Meeting a lower side should not be a problem at this juncture. Meanwhile, Bolton will certainly hope to make it three wins in a row away from home. However, we anticipate a comfortable win for the host. Therefore, our prediction for Arsenal vs Bolton is a handicap of -3.5 for Bolton win.

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Main tip: HC – 3.5 Bolton Win

Our Arsenal vs Bolton predictions

According to the statistics and the odds of the bookmakers, we suggest the following tips:

Prediction 1: HC – 3.5 Bolton Win

3 reasons why we are backing Asian Handicap -3.5 Bloton win:

  • In the last 5 games, Arsenal has not won by a 4-goal margin.
  • Bolton won their last game by a 3-goal margin and have only lost by a 4-goal margin in 1 game out of their previous 5.
  • Looking at the previous 5 head-to-head matches, Bolton has never lost by 4 goals, with the last meeting ending in a 0-0 draw.

Odds for this bet

1Win offers competitive odds for the bet “HC – 3.5 Bolton Win

The odd of 1.38 means that the bookmakers are calculating with a likelihood of approx. 72% chance that Bolton will not lose this match by 4 goal margin.

Odds comparison for HC – 3.5 Bolton Win

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Prediction 2: Over 2.5 Goals

3 reasons why we are banking on Over 2.5 goals in this match:

  • In Arsenal’s last match, over 3 goals were scored.
  • In Bolton’s recent 3 matches, over 3 goals were scored at full-time.
  • In Arsenal’s previous 5 home games, they scored in each game and allowed 3 goals, while Bolton’s last 5 away games saw them score in 4 games. Based on this pattern, it seems likely that there will be 3 or more goals in the upcoming match.

Odds for this bet

Paripesa offers competitive odds for Over 2.5 Goals

The odd of 1.30 means that the bookmakers are calculating with a likelihood of approx. 77% chance that there will be 3 or more goals in this match.

Odds comparisons for Over 2.5 Goals

Paripesa – odd 1.30
1xbet- odd 1.30

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Prediction 3: Arsenal Win

3 reasons we support Arsenal to win in this match:

  • Arsenal have won 4 out of their previous 5 home games.
  • In their last 5 head-to-head fixtures, Arsenal won 3 games, while Bolton won 1 and there was 1 draw. Given the quality of the Gunners, we believe they will win.
  • The Gunners have not lost to a lower-division team recently, and we believe they will get back to winning ways here after picking up 2 draws.

Statistics for Arsenal vs Bolton Prediction

Arsenal’s team news!

  • Injuries: Odegaard is still sidelined due to an ankle injury sustained during international duty and is expected to take two more weeks to recover. Merino is also out with a shoulder injury, Tierney is yet to recover from a muscle injury, and Tomiyasu is also out injured with a knee issue. Zinchenko remains out recovering from a calf injury.
  • Starters: Goalkeeper Raya has started all of the last 10 games, heading into this fixture he may be rested and Neto would start. We expect Trossard and Havertz to lead the attack line, along with Martinelli, Declan Rice, Partey, and Saka. Calafiori scored on his debut start and he may be a starter in this game, lining up with Gabriel Saliba, and Timber.

Bolton’s team news!

  • Here’s the revised text: Injury: Ian Evatt’s team will go into this match with one injury concern, involving defender Osei-Tutu.
  • Starters: Goalkeeper Baxter should be in goal as usual, with defenders Toal, Santos, and Johnson playing in front of him. Dacres-Cogley will play a midfield role alongside Thomas, Matete, Sheehan, and Schon, while Adeboyejo and Charles will lead the attack.
  • Contracts: Midfielder Scott Arfield’s contract expires in months. The Canadian has not yet extended his stay at the club.

H2H statistics

We take a look at their previous 27 meetings:

  • Arsenal with 15 wins, while Bolton has 5 wins and 7 draws.
  • The average goals scored is 2.74 per game in their last 27 meetings
  • The last meeting ended 0-0 at full-time

Latest results Arsenal

  • 3 draws, and 2 wins in their last 5 matches
  • 6 goals were scored in their last 5 matches. Average 1.20 goals per match
  • They drew 2-2 against Man City during their last match.

Latest results Bolton

  • 3 wins, and 2 losses in their last 5 matches
  • 10 goals were scored in their last 5 matches. Average 2.00 goals per match
  • They won 5-2 against Reading during their last match
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