Augsburg vs Borussia Dortmund prediction

Augsburg will be looking to disentangle themselves from the relegation territory when they host Borussia Dortmund at their WWK Arena in Saturday’s early kickoffs. The Fuggerstädter have struggled to start the season and they sit in 15th place coming into this match. After winning their second match of the season just before the international break, there were hopes that they could be turning a corner but that was quickly diminished as their bad habits crept back in their 3-1 loss away at Freiburg in their last league match. Interestingly, all their points have come from their home matches where they have a (2W, 1D, 1L) record.  

Dortmund come into this match licking their wounds after they were demolished 5-2 by Real Madrid at the Santiago Bernabeu stadium in midweek. They seemed to be in cruise control after taking a surprise 2-0 lead at the break but they simply had no answers for the Real Madrid attacking juggernaut that overrun them with five unanswered goals. Domestically they have also had a bit of a mixed bag but they have seemingly struggled on their travels, where they have only picked up a point in 3 matches, including back-to-back losses to Stuttgart and Union Berlin on their last league travels

We expect an interesting encounter here. Augsburg will be keen to continue their strong showing in front of their fans while the visitors will be hoping to turn the page on their recent struggles away from home. Games involving these teams have served some sumptuous goalfests in recent seasons and we expect the trend to continue here. We are therefore backing this match to have at least 3 total goals scored as our opening Augsburg vs Borussia Dortmund prediction for this match

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Main Tip: Over 2.5 Goals

Our Augsburg vs Borussia Dortmund Predictions

According to the statistics and the odds of the bookmakers, we suggest the following tips:

Prediction 1: Over 2.5 Goals

Here are 3 reasons why we are backing this match to have at least 3 total goals scored:

• Their H2H scoring average over the last 10 encounters is 4.30 goals
• All 7 of Augsburg’s league matches have had at least 3 goals scored
• Dortmund’s last 8 matches across all competitions have also witnessed at least 3 goals

Odds for this bet

1Win offers competitive odds for the bet “Over 2.5 Goals”

The odd of 1.53 means that the bookmakers are calculating with a likelihood of approx. 65% chance that both teams will score in this match

Odds comparison for Over 2.5 Goals

1Win – odd 1.53
Bet365 – odd 1.50

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Prediction 2: Dortmund Win

3 reasons why we are backing Borussia Dortmund to emerge victorious in this match:

• Dortmund have dominated this fixture winning 7 of the last 10 including a 5-1 win the last time they met
• They have also generally played well lately winning 5 of their last 8 matches
• Augsburg have been on a terrible run in the league losing 3 of their last 4 matches

Odds for this bet

Paripesa offers competitive odds for “Dortmund Win”

The odd of 1.90 means that the bookmakers are calculating with a likelihood of approx. 53% that Borussia Dortmund will win this match

Odds comparisons Dortmund Win

Paripesa – odd 1.90
Betwinner – odd 1.87

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Prediction 3: Dortmund Over 5.5 Corners

Here’s why we feel there is value in picking Borussia Dortmund to take at least 6 corners in this match:

• Dortmund have had 6 corners in 5 of their 7 league games this season
• They have also had 6 corners in the last 4 straight H2H matches
• The Yellow and Blacks are expected to dominate the possession here and this is likely to yield them loads of corners in this match

Statistics for Augsburg vs Borussia Dortmund Prediction

Team News Augsburg

• Injury:  Keven Schlotterbeck’s participation is uncertain due to a back injury, Robert Gumny (knee), Daniel Klein (foot) and Ruben Vargas (ankle) are also not expected to suit up for the home team
• In form: Samuel Essende has notched two goals for Augsburg and hopes to add to that tally for the struggling hosts
• Player to Watch: Arne Maier knows what it’s like to score against Dortmund having done so in the 2022/23 season, a goal that contributed to an impressive run of netting his team’s opener in eight of his nine goalscoring outings at senior level

Team News Borussia Dortmund

• Injuries: Karim Adeyemi’s severe hamstring injury is expected to keep him out until the end of November. Joining him in the treatment room are Julien Duranville (thigh), Giovanni Reyna (groin) and Yan Couto (muscle), while Pascal Gross and Niklas Sule are both on the doubtful list
• Back in the Fold: With forward Donyell Malen back in the loss to Real Madrid, bagging a goal and an assist, Sahin is likely to again start him alongside up-and-coming Jamie Bynoe-Gittens who also scored in that match as a starter, both playing behind striker Serhou Guirassy
• Midfield Changes: Nmecha is also expected to start in place of the injured Pascal Gross alongside captain Sabitzer in the middle of the pack

H2H statistics

Looking at the last 10 meetings between these teams:

• Dortmund dominate with 7 wins, Augsburg have won once and two games were drawn
• The average number of goals scored in these matches was 4.30
• Dortmund won the last encounter 5-1

Latest results Augsburg

• 2 wins, and 3 losses in their last 5 matches
• 6 goals scored in these last 5 matches. Average of 1.20 goals per match
• Lost 3-1 away at Freiburg in their last league match

Latest results Borussia Dortmund

• 3 wins and 2 losses in their last 5 matches
• An impressive 16 goals scored in these last 5 matches. Average 3.20 goals per match
• Lost 5-2 away at Real Madrid in their midweek UCL match

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