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Bayer Leverkusen - Frankfurt
Bundesliga
Sat, 19.10.2024 – 4:30 PM GMT+3
our main tip:
Over 2.5 Goals

Bayer Leverkusen vs Frankfurt prediction

Bayer Leverkusen will be looking to get back to winning ways when they welcome high-flying Frankfurt this weekend. The defending champions have not been as clinical as they were last season, letting slip comfortable leads to drop points on multiple occasions including the last two back-to-back league games. Xabi Alonso’s charges sit just three points from the top of the table, but this clash against third-place Eintracht Frankfurt may be a key indicator of their championship credentials. 

Frankfurt on the other hand have had an almost flawless start to the season that has seen them pick up 4 wins, a draw and 1 loss, which is their best start to a league campaign through 6 games since the 2012/13 season. The priority here is to build on that strong start and see how long they can sustain it

We anticipate an action-packed encounter here. Leverkusen are still pretty much sticking to their philosophy of attacking football and Frankfurt have shown they are capable of hanging with the best teams as they demonstrated in the thrilling draw with Bayern Munich. We are therefore picking Over 2.5 Goals as our opening Bayer Leverkusen vs Frankfurt prediction for this clash

Follow our latest published Bundesliga betting tips for a chance to grow your bankroll this weekend

Main Tip: Over 2.5 Goals

Our Bayer Leverkusen vs Frankfurt Predictions

According to the statistics and the odds of the bookmakers, we suggest the following tips:

Prediction 1: Over 2.5 Goals

Here are 3 reasons why we are backing this match to have at least 3 total goals scored:

  • Both teams have been great in front of goal in recent matches; Leverkusen average at least 2.20 goals in the last 5 matches while Frankfurt average 3.00 in the same period
  • Their H2H average goals in the last 10 matches is 4.40 goals a match
  • 4 of the last 5 matches at this venue featuring these teams have had at least 3 goals scored

Odds for this bet

1Win offers competitive odds for the bet “Over 2.5 Goals

The odd of 1.33 means that the bookmakers are calculating with a likelihood of approx. 75% chance that at least 3 goals will be scored in this match

Odds comparison for Over 2.5 Goals

1Win – odd 1.33
Bet365 – odd 1.30

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Prediction 2: 1st Goal Leverkusen

3 reasons why we are backing Leverkusen to open the scoring in this match:

  • Leverkusen have been quick off the blocks this season. They have scored the opening goal in the last 5 straight matches across all competitions
  • They have also scored the opener in the last 7 straight H2H encounters
  • Frankfurt have lost in each of their last 10 visits here, conceding the opener on each occasion

Odds for this bet

Paripesa offers competitive odds for “1st Goal Leverkusen”

The odd of 1.40 means that the bookmakers are calculating with a likelihood of approx. 71% that Bayer Leverkusen will score the first goal of this match

Odds comparisons 1st Goal Leverkusen

Paripesa – odd 1.40
Betwinner – odd 1.40

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Prediction 3: Over 3.5 Bookings

Here’s why we feel there is value in picking this match to have at least 4 bookings:

  • 4 of last 7 H2H matches have had at least 4 bookings
  • Leverkusen’s last 5 straight matches have had at least 4 bookings
  • 3 of Frankfurt’s last 5 away matches have also had at least 4 bookings

Statistics for Bayer Leverkusen vs Frankfurt Prediction

Team News Bayer Leverkusen

  • Injuries: Florian Wirtz will miss this match after picking an ankle injury in the first half of Germany’s UEFA Nations League match against the Netherlands on Monday evening. No timeline has been given by the club on when he can return to training, so all indications are he will miss this Saturday fixture
  • Attacking Options: Having been well-rested ahead of this match, we can expect  Amine Adli,  Victor Boniface to start upfront
  • Shoring up the defence: Edmond Tapsoba, Jonathan Tah and Piero Hincapie have started five of Die Schwarzroten’s last six games as centre-backs, and all three can be expected to appear once again

Team News Frankfurt

  • Injury List: The visitors will be without midfielders Mehdi Loune and Oscar Hojlund until late October and late December respectively. Mario Gotze picked up an injury against Besiktas and he could be replaced by Fares Chaibi.
  • Shuffling the Defence: The Eagles may start Rasmus Kristensen at right-back and Arthur Theate at left-back, while Tuta and Robin Koch will likely be selected to play as centre-backs.
  • Leading from the Front: Frankfurt’s Omar Marmoush continued his incredible start to the season with a standout performance against Bayern (1 goal and 1 assist). He leads the Bundesliga scoring charts with with eight goals from the opening six matches and he will be needed once again here

H2H statistics

Looking at the last 10 meetings between these teams:

  • Leverkusen have had the upper hand with 7 wins, while Frankfurt have won thrice
  • The average number of goals scored in these matches was 4.40
  • Leverkusen won the last encounter 5-1 away at Frankfurt towards the end of last season

Latest results Bayer Leverkusen

  • 3 wins and 2 draws in their last 5 matches
  • 12 goals scored in these last 5 matches. Average of 2.40 goals per match
  • Drew 2-2 at home against Holstein Kiel in their last match

Latest results Frankfurt

  • Also have 3 wins and 2 draws in their last 5 matches
  • A massive 15 goals scored in these last 5 matches. Average 3.00 goals per match
  • Drew 3-3 home against Bayern in their last league assignment
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