Bayern Munich vs Freiburg prediction

Bayern’s quest to return to the mountain top kicked off with a 3-2 win on the opening day away at Wolfsburg. New coach Vincent Kompany’s reign at the Bavarian club has thus far started smoothly with two wins in two competitive matches, the first one being the 4-0 routine thrashing of Ulm in the DFB Pokal earlier last week. The Bundesliga opener at the Volkswagen Arena was a bit more challenging with Bayern needing to come from behind to earn all three points on offer when all was said and done. This will be Kompany’s first home game and he gunning to please the home fans with a more comfortable win here

Freiburg also got their campaign off to an unexpected but very impressive 3-1 win at home against last season’s runners-up Stuttgart with right-back Lukas Kubler putting up a man-of-the-match performance thanks to his brace that set them up for the comeback victory. Freiburg’s new coach Julian Schuster, who took over from Christian Streich in the dugout had also picked up a 4-0 over Vfl Osnabruck in the DFB Pokal.

One thing that really stuck out like a sore thumb for Bayern encoute to relinquishing their title last season was the massive drop off defensively. They conceded the most goals since 1995-96. Their defensive frailty was exposed on opening day at Wolfsburg too. Their attack has nevertheless remained lethal and is expected to continue firing on all cylinders. Freiburg have also been quite prolific in front of goal. We can therefore expect a goalfest here here and for our opening Bayern Munich vs Freiburg prediction, we are picking this game to have at least 4 goals scored

Check out more Bundesliga predictions for other upcoming matches from Germany’s top flight division

Main Tip: Over 3.5 Goals

Our Bayern Munich vs Freiburg predictions

According to the statistics and the odds of the bookmakers, we suggest the following tips:

Prediction 1: Over 3.5 Goals

Here are 3 reasons why we are backing this match to have at least 4 total goals scored:

• 4 of Bayern’s last 5 matches have had at least 4 goals scored
• All 5 of Freiburg’s last matches have also had at least 4 goals scored
• Both teams average at least 2 goals a game in each of their last 5 matches
• 3 of the last 6 H2H meetings have had at least 4 goals scored

Odds for this bet

1Win offers competitive odds for the bet “Over 3.5 Goals”

The odd of 1.67 means that the bookmakers are calculating with a likelihood of approx. 60% chance that this match will have at least 4 total goals scored

Odds comparison for Over 3.5 Goals

1Win – odd 1.67
10Bet – odd 1.67

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Prediction 2: Handicap -1 Bayern Win

3 reasons why we are backing Leverkusen to pick up a win by a margin of at least 2 clear goals:

• Bayern have won 3 of their last 5 home league games by 2 or more goals
• They have also won 3 of the last 5 H2H meetings with Freiburg by 2 or more goals

Odds for this bet

Paripesa offers competitive odds for “Handicap -1 Bayern Win”

The odd of 1.52 means that the bookmakers are calculating with a likelihood of approx. 66% that Levekusen will win this match by a margin of at least 2 or more goals

Odds comparisons Handicap -1 Bayern Win

Paripesa – odd 1.52
Betwinner – odd 1.50

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Prediction 3: Bayern Over 5.5 Corners

Here’s why we feel there is value in picking Bayern to get at least 6 corners here

• They have had at least 6 corners in 5 of their last 6 H2H matches
• Overall, Bayern have also breached this mark in each of their last 5 straight matches
• Bayern as they like to do will dominate possession and this will lead to more opportunities in their opponent’s box, hence the likelihood of more corners for them

Statistics for Bayern Munich vs Freiburg Prediction

Team News Bayern Munich

• Der Rekordmeister completed the transfers of defenders Noussair Mazraoui and Matthijs de Ligt who were both sold to Manchester United
• Summer signing Michael Olise made his league debut in the starting lineup last weekend in the win at Wolfsburg and played for 75 minutes. He looked comfortable in his role and is expected to keep his place here and he will be looking to get his first goal for the club
• Leroy Sane returned to full training in midweek following a pelvic injury and could play a part in this match
• Bayern will be without Josip Stanisic plus newly-signed centerback Hiroti Iko who is expected to miss the first few weeks with a foot injury
• Harry Kane received his 2024 European Golden Shoe Award on Tuesday and will be looking to open his account for this new season when he leads the line in this opening home match

Team News Freiburg

• The visitors will be without defenders Kilian Sildillia and Manuel Gulde, as well as midfielder Merlin Rohl, who are on the treatment table until next month
• Freiburg also have doubts about the availability of Atubolu (appendix), Dinkçi (groin), Sildillia (foot)
• They will be missing the services of Gregoritsch (hamstring), Gulde (back), Kyereh (knee), Schmidt (suspended)

H2H statistics

Assessing the last 10 meetings between these teams:

• Bayern dominate with 7 wins, Freiburg has 1 win and 2 games were drawn
• The goal average in these matches is 3.50
• The last encounter ended in a 2-2 draw

Latest results Bayern Munich

• Won the last 5 straight matches
• 17 goals scored in these last 5 matches. Average of 3.40 goals per match
• Edged Wolfsburg 3-2 away in their last match

Latest results Freiburg

• 3 wins and 2 draws in their last 5 matches
• 14 goals scored in these last 5 matches. Average 2.80 goals per match
• Beat Stuttgart 3-1 at home in their last match

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