Borussia Dortmund vs St. Pauli prediction

Nuri Sahin’s Borussia Dortmund have blown hot and cold to start the season and they find themselves 7th on the log ahead of the visit of newcomers St Pauli to Signal Iduna this Friday. A 2-1 loss away at Union Belin just before the international break left a bitter taste in their mouths and they will be looking to bounce back with a win here.

St Pauli received a baptism of fire in the top-flight league when they opened the new season with three straight losses but they got their act together with an impressive point against RB Leipzig before collecting their first three points in a match against Freiburg on Matchday 5. They lost at home to Mainz last time out in the league, but they have shown they have what it takes to make things a little dicey against the top sides.

Dortmund games have been nothing short of box-office entertainment this season. They have been tonnes of goals and they have found themselves dishing the goals and on the receiving end too! The break was a welcome relief and we expect both teams to come out with renewed vigour and energy and we are picking this match to have at least 4 goals scored as our opening Dortmund vs St Pauli prediction

The break is over. Get back to winning with our well-researched Bundesliga betting tips featuring more upcoming games from the top division!

Main Tip: Over 3.5 Goals

Our Borussia Dortmund vs St. Pauli predictions

According to the statistics and the odds of the bookmakers, we suggest the following tips:

Prediction 1: Over 3.5 Goals

Here are 3 reasons why we are backing this match to have at least 4 total goals scored:

• 4 of Dortmund’s last 6 matches across all competitions have had at least 4 goals scored
• 2 of St Pauli’s last 3 away matches have also witnessed at least 4 goals scored
• Dortmund have scored at least 3 goals in 3 of their last 6 H2H matches against St Pauli

Odds for this bet

1Win offers competitive odds for the bet “Over 3.5 Goals”

The odd of 2.10 means that the bookmakers are calculating with a likelihood of approx. 48% chance that at least 4 goals will be scored in this match

Odds comparison for Over 3.5 Goals

1Win – odd 2.10
Bet365 – odd 2.10

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Prediction 2: HT/FT – Dortmund/Dortmund

3 reasons why we are backing Dortmund to win at halftime and fulltime:

• Dortmund have dominated the H2H encounters in this fixture winning 8 of the last 10
• Despite their shaky results, at home Dortmund have been terrific winning the last 5 straight matches across all competitions

Odds for this bet

Paripesa offers competitive odds for “HT/FT – Dortmund/Dortmund”

The odd of 1.67 means that the bookmakers are calculating with a likelihood of approx. 60% that Borussia Dortmund will lead at halftime and win at fulltime

Odds comparisons HT/FT – Dortmund/Dortmund

Paripesa – odd 1.67
Betwinner – odd 1.67

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Prediction 3: Over 9.5 Corners

Here’s why we feel there is value in picking this match to have at least 10 total corners:

• 4 of last 5 H2H matches have had at least 10 corners
• Dortmund’s last 5 straight home matches have also had at least 10 corners
• St Pauli have taken at least 4 corners in 2 of their 3 away Bundesliga matches this season

Statistics for Borussia Dortmund vs St. Pauli Prediction

Team News Borussia Dortmund

• Injuries: Karim Adeyemi is out until late October due to a hamstring injury, while Giovanni Reyna is scheduled to return anytime soon as he continues recovering from his groin injury.
• Attacking Changes: With forward Donyell Malen still doubtful from an illness, Sahin could possibly start Jamie Bynoe-Gittens, Julian Brandt and Julien Duranville behind striker Serhou Guirassy.
• Engine Room: Emre Can could partner Pascal Gross in a double pivot in midfield in front of centre-backs Waldemar Anton and Nico Schlotterbeck.

Team News St. Pauli

• Injuries: The visitors will be without midfielder Carlo Boukhalfa until late October, as well as goalkeepers Sascha Burchert and Soren Ahlers who are expected to resume training in a few days. Strikers Maurides and Simon Zoller are also likely to miss out until later in the month
• Defence:  Not much changes expected here despite some struggles they have had. Hauke Wahl, Eric Smith and Karol Mets are the choices to start as centre-backs.
• Bolstering the attack: Oladapo Afolayan, Johannes Eggestein and Elias Saad will likely be selected in the forward line to try and get goals for a side that has been short of them

H2H statistics

Looking at the last 10 meetings between these teams:

• Dortmund dominate with 8 wins, St Pauli have just 1 win and 1 game was drawn
• The average goals scored in these matches was 2.90
• St Pauli won the last encounter 2-1

Latest results Borussia Dortmund

• 3 wins and 2 losses in their last 5 matches
• 16 goals scored in these last 5 matches. Average of 3.20 goals per match
• Lost 2-1 away at Union Berlin in their last league match

Latest results St. Pauli

• 1 win, a draw and 3 losses in their last 5 matches
• Just 6 goals scored in these last 5 matches. Average 1.20 goals per match
• Lost 3-0 at home to Mainz in their last league assignment

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