Borussia Dortmund vs Sturm Graz prediction
Borussia Dortmund will be looking to bounce back from the humiliating loss to Real Madrid in round 3 of the group games when they welcome Austrian outfit Sturm Graz to the Signal Iduna Park this Tuesday. Nuri Sahin has come under pressure because of disappointing results in recent weeks. A 2-1 victory over RB Leipzig at the weekend will cool some of those embers, as they became the first team to defeat Die Roten Bullen this season. Sahin will be hoping to carry over some momentum into this match
Sturm Graz are fifth from bottom in the new Champions League format after losing all three of their opening games. The most recent was the 2-0 loss against Sporting Lisbon on October 22. To their credit, they are doing well in the domestic league, leading the Austrian Bundesliga with 26 points from 12 league fixtures and are three points clear of second-placed Rapid Vienna. They have however lost all 10 of their recent Champions League matches
Dortmund have been a monster at home which they have turned into an absolute fortress this season. They have comfortably won their last 9 straight matches here. We fancy this trend to hold as they try to get secure easier passage into the knockout phase of this competition. As such, we are picking Dortmund to win by at least 2 or more goals as our opening Borussia Dortmund vs Sturm Graz prediction here
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Main Tip: Handicap -1 Dortmund Win
Our Borussia Dortmund vs Sturm Graz Predictions
According to the statistics and the odds of the bookmakers, we suggest the following tips:
Prediction 1: Handicap -1 Dortmund Win
Here are 3 reasons why we are backing Dortmund to win by at least 2 goals:
- They have won the last 9 straight home games
- In the Champions League, they have also been dominant this season with both of their wins coming by 2 or more goals
- Sturm Graz have lost all three of their UCL matches this season by at least 2 or more goals
Odds for this bet
1Win offers competitive odds for the bet “Handicap -1 Dortmund Win”
The odd of 1.33 means that the bookmakers are calculating with a likelihood of approx. 75% chance that Dortmund will win this match with a margin of 2 or more goals
Odds comparison for Handicap -1 Dortmund Win
1Win – odd 1.33
Bet365 – odd 1.30
Prediction 2: Over 2.5 Goals
3 reasons why we are backing this match to have at least 3 total goals scored:
- 4 of Sturm Graz’s last 6 matches have had at least 3 goals scored
- 9 of Dortmund’s last 10 games have also had at least 3 goals scored
- Dortmund’s last 5 straight home games have also had at least 3 goals
Odds for this bet
Paripesa offers competitive odds for “Over 2.5 Goals”
The odd of 1.26 means that the bookmakers are calculating with a likelihood of approx. 79% that this match will have at least 3 or more total goals scored
Odds comparisons Over 2.5 Goals
Paripesa – odd 1.26
Betwinner – odd 1.25
Prediction 3: Dortmund Over 5.5 Corners
Here’s why we feel there is value in picking Dortmund to take at least 6 corners in this match
- Dortmund have had 6 corners in 4 of their last 5 matches
- They are expected to dominate this match and as a result should have more corners coming their way
- Sturm have struggled in the Champions League and have given up at least 6 corners in all three of their matches so far this season
Statistics for Borussia Dortmund vs Sturm Graz Prediction
Team News Borussia Dortmund
- Injuries: have numerous absentees, including goalkeeper Gregor Kobel who is out until late November, while defenders Julian Ryerson, Yan Couto, Waldemar Anton and Niklas Sule also picked up knocks and will be unavailable for selection here
- Depleted Squad: Dortmund are still without atackers Giovanni Reyna, Julien Duranville and Karim Adeyemi who have been on the treatment table, while midfielder Marcel Sabitzer is out until late November, though Kjell Watjen could return in the next few days
- Midfield Changes: Felix Nmecha could feature at the base of the mid, behind forwards Jamie Bynoe-Gittens, Cole Campbell and Serhou Guirassy
Team News Sturm Graz
- Injuries: Sturm Graz on their part will miss the services of midfielder Jon Gorenc-Stankovic for the rest of the season due to a shoulder injury, while defenders Gregory Wuthrich and Alexandar Borkovic are unavailable for selection herre
- Solidifying the Defence: We expect Jusuf Gazibegovic, Emanuel Aiwu, Niklas Geyrhofer and Dimitri Lavalee to start in defence behind a double pivot featuring Tomi Horvat and Tochi Chukwuani.
- Player to Watch: Sturm’s Erencan Yardımcı has seen his last seven club goals alternate between the second half and first half – he scored after the break at the weekend.
H2H statistics
This will be the first-ever meeting between these two teams
Latest results Borussia Dortmund
- 2 wins,1 draw and 2 losses in their last 5 matches
- 7 goals scored in these last 5 matches. Average of 1.20 goals per match
- Beat RB Leipzig 2-1 at home in their weekend league match
Latest results Sturm Graz
- 3 wins, a draw and a loss in their last 5 matches
- 10 goals scored in these last 5 matches. Average 2.00 goals per match
- Drew 1-1 at home against SK Rapid in their last league assignment
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