Lugano vs Fenerbahce prediction

Swiss side Lugano FC will launch their bid to get into the Champions League group stage when they lock horns with Fenerbahce in the first leg of their UCL Qualification round at the Stockhorn Arena (Thun). Lugano finished 2nd behind Young Boys in the Swiss top-flight league to clinch a ticket to these qualifiers. They have since been prepping up with a series of friendly matches, the last of which saw them come up tops in a 3-1 win over Italian side Parma last weekend.

Turkish outfit Fenerbahce are in very familiar territory. The enthralling yellows and blues of Fenerbahçe have been stealing the limelight not only in Turkish top-tier Süper Lig but also in the UEFA Champions League. The 28-time league winners pushed Galatasaray all the way until the final day in what was a photo-finish that saw them finish 2nd, just 3 points behind the champions. They now embark on a journey to get back to where they have caused ripples and excitement in the group stage of Europe’s most glamorous cup competition and having hired the ‘special one’ Jose Mourinho as manager this season, expectations are quite high for them to make a deep run.

This will be a terrific match pitting two teams with rich football histories. We expect an end to end encounter with both teams trying to capture a decisive advantage to carry from this 1st leg. As such we can expect a lot of goalmouth action that should yield plenty of corners either way. We are therefore picking at least 9 corners here as our opening Lugano vs Fenerbahce prediction for this match

Explore other Champions League betting tips as we go through these qualification matches with teams battling to grab a seat at the high table of the group stage

Main Tip: Over 8.5 Corners

Our Lugano vs Fenerbahce predictions

According to the statistics and the odds of the bookmakers, we suggest the following tips:

Prediction 1: Over 8.5 Corners

Here are 3 reasons why we are backing the match to have at least 9 corners taken

• Lugano’s last 5 competitive matches all had at least 9 corners
• For Fenerbahce, 4 of their last 5 competitive games witnessed 9 corners
• At home, 4 of Lugano’s 5 matches have had at least 9 corners

Odds for this bet

1Win offers competitive odds for the bet “Over 8.5 Corners”

The odd of 1.60 means that the bookmakers are calculating with a likelihood of approx. 63% chance that this match will have at least 9 corners

Odds comparison for Over 8.5 Corners

1Win – odd 1.60
10Bet – odd 1.58

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Prediction 2: Over 2.5 Goals

3 reasons why we are backing this match to have at least 3 total goals scored

• Lugano’s have averaged 2.00 goals a match in their last 5 matches
• Fenerbahce on their part have averaged 2.60 goals a match in the same period
• For both teams 3 of their last 5 matches have had at least 3 total goals scored

Odds for this bet

Paripesa offers competitive odds for “Over 2.5 Goals”

The odd of 1.81 means that the bookmakers are calculating with a likelihood of approx. 55% that there will be at least 3 total goals scored

Odds comparisons Over 2.5 Goals

Paripesa – odd 1.81
Betwinner – odd 1.80

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Prediction 3: DC Fenerbahce/Draw

Here’s why we feel there is value in going for double chance Fenerbahce/Draw here:

• They have only lost once in their last 7 matches (3W, 3D, 1L)
• Lugano lost 3 of their last 6 competitive games to close the season, including 2 of their last 3 home league matches
• Away from home, Fenerbahce have lost just twice in their last 9 competitive games

Statistics for Lugano vs Fenerbahce Prediction

Team News Lugano

• Swiss player Renato Steffen and Slovenian forward Žan Celar will be back for club duties for Lugano after taking part in the Euros
• The Swiss side has been busy in the transfer market with key signings including Mattia Zanotti from Inter Milan, Papadopoulos who they got on a free transfer from Dortmund, and Daniel Dos Santos who they signed from rivals Thun. They are all likely to get their debuts here
• Lugano has also been linked with 22-year-old Werder Bremen striker Nick Woltemade although a deal is yet to be reached

Team News Fenerbahce

• Mourinho should have some star players back from the European Championship too: including Turkey’s Mert Müldür, Croatian keeper Dominik Livaković, and Serbian playmaker Dušan Tadićis
• He will also be relying on Fenerbahce’s captain, veteran Bosnian forward Edin Džeko to lead his attack
• Left-back Ferdi Kadioglu has been the subject of transfer speculations with interest from EPL sides such as Arsenal and Manchester United. He’s still under contract until June 2026 but his involvement in this match is in doubt with the club listening to bids coming in

H2H statistics

This will be the first-ever meeting between these sides:

Latest results Lugano

• 3 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss in their last 5 matches
• 10 goals scored in these last 5 matches. Average of 2.00 goals per match
• Beat Parma 3-1 in their last match

Latest results Fenerbahce

• Also have 3 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss in their last 5 matches
• 13 goals were scored in these last 5 matches. Average 2.60 goals per match
• Thrashed Strasbourg 4-0 in their last match

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