Real Madrid vs Borussia Dortmund prediction

Matchday 3 of this season’s Champions League will have a rematch of the 2023/24 UCL Final as defending champions Real Madrid welcome Borussia Dortmund to the Bernabeu on Tuesday. Carlo Ancelotti’s men broke the hearts of the Germans just five months ago to win European Cup number 15 for the Spanish giants. They will be hoping to put behind the shock 1-0 loss to Lille on matchday 2 which has them stuck in 17th place in the 36-team league coming into this match. They responded well with back-to-back wins over Villarreal and Celta Vigo, either side of the international break to move level with Barcelona atop La Liga ahead of their potentially explosive El Classico meeting this coming weekend

Nuri Sahin’s Dortmund have flattered to impress this season. They have been absolutely unstoppable in Europe through their opening two matches, putting three unanswered against Club Brugge on matchday 1 before putting up their best performance ever against Brendan Rodger’s Celtics who they put to the sword with a 7-1 thrashing. Their massive goal difference has them sitting atop the standings ahead of this rematch with the champions

This should be an interesting encounter at the Bernabeu. Both teams have shown the calibre that saw them make the finals last season. We expect an end-to-end encounter here and given he quality of attacking talent on both sides, we are picking both teams to find the back of the net as our opening Real Madrid vs Borussia Dortmund prediction for this clash

Enjoy some big wins this midweek with our UCL predictions prepare by a team of betting experts.

Main Tip: Both Teams to Score

Our Real Madrid vs Borussia Dortmund Predictions

According to the statistics and the odds of the bookmakers, we suggest the following tips:

Prediction 1: Both Teams to Score

Here are 3 reasons why we are backing this match to have both teams scoring:

• 4 of the last 5 H2H encounters had both teams scoring
• Both teams have been scoring goals for fun; Real Madrid average 1.60 goals in their last 5 while Dortmund average 3.00 over the same period
• Madrid have failed to keep a clean sheet in 3 of their last 4 home games; Dortmund have scored in 4 of their last 5 away matches

Odds for this bet

1Win offers competitive odds for the bet “Both Teams to Score”

The odd of 1.33 means that the bookmakers are calculating with a likelihood of approx. 75% chance that both teams will score in this match

Odds comparison for Both Teams to Score

1Win – odd 1.33
Bet365 – odd 1.30

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Prediction 2: Real Madrid Win

3 reasons why we are backing Real Madrid to emerge victorious in this match:

• Real Madrid have not lost a UCL home game since April 2022 (11W, 3D)
• Dortmund have looked shaky on their travels lately, winning just once in their last 4 away matches and losing the last two straight away games
• Real Madrid have won their last 9 straight home games across all competitions

Odds for this bet

Paripesa offers competitive odds for “Real Madrid Win”

The odd of 1.40 means that the bookmakers are calculating with a likelihood of approx. 71% that Real Madrid will win this match

Odds comparisons Real Madrid Win

Paripesa – odd 1.40
Betwinner – odd 1.40

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Prediction 3: Over 3.5 Bookings

Here’s why we feel there is value in picking this match to have at least 4 bookings:

• 4 of last 7 H2H matches have had at least 4 bookings
• Leverkusen’s last 5 straight matches have had at least 4 bookings
• 3 of Frankfurt’s last 5 away matches have also had at least 4 bookings

Statistics for Real Madrid vs Borussia Dortmund Prediction

Team News Real Madrid

• Injury: Unfortunately, Dani Carvajal will be out for the whole season following a serious knee injury that he picked during their clash against Villarreal. Brahim Diaz’s thigh problem is not yet healed while David Alaba is still out with a knee injury
• Returning: Goalkeeper Thibaut Courtois played against Celta Vigo over the weekend after recovering from a shoulder injury and is expected to start this game. Rodrygo did not start against Celta but could be back in the starting 11 in this game
• Cards: Veteran midfielder Luka Modric is one booking away from suspension after picking yellow cards in each of the first two UCL group games

Team News Borussia Dortmund

• Injuries: Karim Adeyemi is out until late October due to a hamstring injury, while Giovanni Reyna is scheduled to return anytime soon as he continues recovering from his groin injury
• Attacking Changes: With forward Donyell Malen still doubtful from an illness, Sahin could start Jamie Bynoe-Gittens, Julian Brandt, and Felix Nmecha behind striker Serhou Guirassy
• Engine Room: Emre Can could partner Pascal Gross in a double pivot in midfield in front of centre-backs Waldemar Anton and Nico Schlotterbeck. Can and Gross started together in the 2-1 win over St Pauli over the weekend
• On-form: Serhou Guirassy already has 3 goals from the first two Champions League group games. He has also scored 4 goals in 5 Bundesliga games, and will be crucial in the hunt for goals in this match

H2H statistics

Looking at the last 10 meetings between these teams:

• Real Madrid have won 5 times, Dortmund twice and three games were drawn
• The average number of goals scored in these matches was 3.50
• Real Madrid won the last encounter 2-0

Latest results Real Madrid

• 3 wins,1 draw and a loss in their last 5 matches
• 12 goals scored in these last 5 matches. Average of 2.40 goals per match
• Beat Celta Vigo 2-1 away in their weekend league match

Latest results Borussia Dortmund

• 3 wins and 2 losses in their last 5 matches
• A massive 15 goals scored in these last 5 matches. Average 3.00 goals per match
• Edged St Pauli 2-1 at home in their last league assignment

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