USA vs Uruguay prediction

After suffering a surprising 2-1 defeat at the hands of Panama, the USA national team finds themselves in a precarious position heading into their final group-stage match. They are now in a do-or-die scenario, as anything less than a victory will leave their fate in the hands of Bolivia, a team with a less-than-stellar record (L2). The historical record between the USA and Uruguay, which dates back to their inaugural encounter in 1986, does not inspire much confidence in securing the win needed to advance. However, the home-field advantage could prove to be pivotal in this crucial fixture.

Meanwhile, the journey to Kansas City has been a relieving one for Uruguay, as their strong performance in the opening games (W2) puts them in a comfortable position to secure a top-two finish. Despite being considered underdogs with a FIFA rank of 14, Uruguay’s impressive history in the Copa América makes them a formidable opponent. With an unmatched record of 15 Copa América victories, Uruguay has demonstrated exceptional prowess in this competition. Furthermore, Marcelo Bielsa’s team has showcased their offensive strength by scoring eight goals, three more than any other team across all four groups in the tournament.

The last 3 head-to-head matches have been decided by a single goal or in a stalemate, suggesting that Uruguay is likely to reach the knockout phase for the ninth time in the last ten Copa America tournaments. And our USA vs Uruguay prediction is leaning towards another close encounter.

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Main tip: Handicap +2 Uruguay Win

Our USA vs Uruguay predictions

According to the statistics and the odds of the bookmakers, we suggest the following tips:

Prediction 1: HC +2 Uruguay Win

3 reasons why we back Uruguay not to lose by 2-goal margin:

• Uruguay have won their 3 recent matches and unbeaten in their last 4
• Uruguay only lost 1 of their last 5 H2H meetings with USA. This loss was only by a 1-goal margin
• Uruguay have only conceded 1 goal in their 2 group games

Odds for this bet

Betboro offers competitive odds for the bet “HC +2 Uruguay Win”

The odd of 1.15 means that the bookmakers are calculating with a likelihood of approx. 87% chance that this match will see Uruguay win by a handicap of +2 goals at full-time.

Odds comparison for HC +2 Uruguay Win

Betboro – odd 1.15
Betwinner – odd 1.15

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Prediction 2: Uruguay Over 0.5 Goals

3 reasons why we back Uruguay to score a goal:

• Uruguay have scored at least a goal in 9 of their previous 10 matches
• The USA has conceded at least 1 goal in 3 of their recent 4 matches
• Uruguay has scored the competition’s highest 8 goals in 2 group matches

Odds for this bet

Paripesa offers competitive odds for “Uruguay Over 0.5 Goals”

The odd of 1.39 means that the bookmakers are calculating with a likelihood of approx. 72% chance that Uruguay will score at least 1 goal in this match.

Odds comparisons for Uruguay Over 0.5 Goals

Paripesa – odd 1.39
Betboro – odd 1.37

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Prediction 3: Both Teams to Score

3 reasons why we back both teams to find the net:

• 3 of the USA’s previous 4 matches featured both teams scoring
• 2 of their recent 3 direct meetings saw both teams score at full-time
• Both teams found the net in each of their 2 group matches

Statistics for USA vs Uruguay Prediction

Team news USA!

• Tim Weah will not be available for the USA due to his red card received against Panama. This should see Aaronson finally get into the start XI after only coming off the bench for Weah in their 2-0 win against Bolivia
• Matt Turner was substituted by Ethan Horvath in the second half of the match against Panama due to an apparent leg injury, and his participation in this match is uncertain
• Folarin Balogun, the striker from Monaco, will lead the attack once again after he made a quick impact in this tournament, scoring before half-time in both of the USA’s previous matches.

Team news Uruguay!

• Maximiliano Araujo and Darwin Nunez both found the net for the second consecutive game, placing them in contention for the Golden Boot in the tournament
• While there were worries about Ronald Araujo picking up an injury in their first Copa America match, it appeared that he had fully recuperated as he completed the full 90 minutes against Bolivia, forming a partnership with Mathias Olivera at the back

H2H statistics

Let’s take a look at their last 5 meetings:

• Uruguay won 2 matches, USA had 1 win, and 2 matches were drawn
• They scored an average of 1.80 goals per game
• In their last encounter, it ended in a 0-0 draw

Latest results USA

• 2 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses in their last 5 matches
• 7 goals scored in their last 5 matches. Average 1.40 goals per match
• They lost 2-1 to Panama during their last match

Latest results Uruguay

• 3 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss in their last 5 matches
• 13 goals scored in their last 5 matches. Average 2.60 goals per match
• They won 5-0 against Bolivia during their last match

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