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Austria - Turkey
Euro 2024
Tue, 02.07.2024 – 10:00 PM GMT+3
our main tip:
DC Austria/Draw

Austria vs Turkey prediction

A 3-2 win over Netherlands in the final round of Group D games secured Austria qualification to the knockout round of the Euro Championships for just the second time in their history. That win saw Ralf Rangnick’s men finish top in the group ahead of France who drew 1-1 with Poland in their final group fixture.

Turkey sealed their place in the last 16 of the 2024 UEFA European Championship with a hard-fought 2-1 win against a gutsy, 10-man Czech Republic side in their final group game. Vincenzo Montella’s side secured second spot in the group to set up a clash against Austria next Tuesday in Leipzig

It is difficult to ignore the form Austria has been in leading up to the tournament and in their group games. We fancy them to maintain that there and we feel they have enough to overcome the hard-nosed Turkey team and proceed to the next stage. As a result we are picking them to win or draw this match as our main Austria vs Turkey prediction for this clash

It’s win or go home now as we get to the knockout rounds of the Euros. Get our latest Euro 2024 predictions for these knockout rounds from our expert tipsters!

Main Tip: Double Chance – Austria/Draw

Our Austria vs Turkey predictions

According to the statistics and the odds of the bookmakers, we suggest the following tips:

Prediction 1: Double Chance – Austria/Draw

Here are 3 reasons why we are backing Austria to win or draw this match

  • Austria have been in fine form, with 7 wins in their last 10 matches including 2 of the 3 group games
  • That win over Netherlands certainly boosted their morale as it was the first win in 8 H2H meetings
  • Turkey on the other hand have lost 5 of their last 8 matches
  • Austria won 6-1 in the last meeting between these teams earlier this year

Odds for this bet

1Win offers competitive odds for the bet “Double Chance – Austria/Draw

The odd of 1.20 means that the bookmakers are calculating with a likelihood of approx. 83% chance that Austria will win or draw this match

Odds comparison for Double Chance – Austria/Draw

1Win – odd 1.20
10Bet- odd 1.18

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Prediction 2: First Goal Austria

3 reasons why we are backing Austria to open the scoring here:

  • Austria have scored the opening goal in 9 of their last 10 matches across all competitions
  • In this tournament, they have scored the opener in both of their last two group games
  • Turkey on their part have conceded first in 6 of their last 9 matches
  • The last 3 straight H2H games between these teams have seen Austria breaking the deadlock

Odds for this bet

Paripesa offers competitive odds for “First Goal Austria”

The odd of 1.67 means that the bookmakers are calculating with a likelihood of approx. There is a 60% Austria will score the opening goal of this match

Odds comparisons First Goal Austria

Paripesa – odd 1.67
Betwinner – odd 1.67

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Prediction 3: Over 2.5 Goals

Here’s why we feel there is value in backing this match to have at least 3 total goals scored:

  • Austria have been scoring goals for fun; 6 goals in the last 2 matches
  • Turkey have scored at least twice in 2 of their 3 group games
  • Their last 10 H2H games have averaged 3.40 goals a match

Statistics for Austria vs Turkey Prediction

Team News Austria

  • Boss Ralf Rangnick has been rotating his starting XI across the group games and is expected to do the same here
  • Christoph Baumgartner continued his sterling performances with an assist to Sabitzer after coming off the bench for Patrick Wimmer. He could be restored to the starting lineup alongside all-time top scorer Marko Arnautovic who had a decent game as the starting centre forward
  • Max Wober and Philipp Lienhart looked solid in central defence against Netherlands and are likely to retain their place ahead of Gernot Trauner who had some thigh problems that forced him off against Poland
  • Captain Marcel Sabitzer will make his 11th major tournament appearance. His fellow midfielder Nicolas Seiwald has been outstanding with the most recoveries and tackles through the opening three games than any other Austrian. Both should retain their starting slots here

Team News Turkey

  • Coach Vincenzo Montella saw his men pick up 9 bookings in their final group game and he has a selection nightmare as he will be missing the services of influential captain Hakan Calhanoglu and centre-back Samet Akaydin  in this round-of-16 tie
  •  Abdulkerim Bardakci missed the last game through suspension, but he should be back alongside Merih Demiral to step into Turkey’s back four
  • Real Madrid’s wonderkid Arda Guler shook off a minor groin injury and started against Czech Republic. He will likely retain his place alongside 19-year-old Kenan Yildz who has been terrific on the flanks
  • With captain Calhanoglu out, Dormund’s Salih Ozcan will be expected to try and fill his big shoes in a deep midfield role alongside Kaan Ayhan

H2H statistics

Looking at the last 10 meetings between these teams:

  • Turkey has 6 wins, Austria 3 wins and 1 game was drawn
  • These matches averaged 3.40 goals a match
  • Austria won 6-1 the last time they met

Latest results Austria

  • 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss in their last 5 matches
  • 9 goals scored in these last 5 matches. Average of 1.80 goals per match
  • Beat Netherlands 3-2 in their last match

Latest results Turkey

  • 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses in their last 5 matches
  • 6 goals scored in these last 5 matches. Average 1.20 goals per match
  • Edged Czech Republic 2-1 in their last match
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