Croatia vs Italy prediction

The final group stage match of Euro 2024 promises to be an intense battle of wits as Croatia and Italy, both heavyweights in Group D, face off for a chance to advance. Croatia’s campaign got off to a rough start with a loss to Spain and a 2-2 draw with underdogs Albania. They now find themselves in fourth place with just one point, needing a win to keep their hopes alive. Despite their position, Croatia remains undefeated against Azzurri, giving them confidence going into this match.

Italy started their title defense by defeating Albania 2-1 and narrowly losing to Spain 1-0. They are currently in 2nd place and need at least a draw to secure their spot in the knockout stage. However, they will need to step up against Croatia, whom they have never beaten in their previous 8 encounters. Italy’s strong defense could be utilized by coach Luciano Spalletti to secure the much-needed point.

Previous direct meetings between these two sides have been closely contested, with 5 out of 6 out of 8 producing a stalemate at full-time, while 5 saw a first-half draw. With a lot at stake, Our Croatia vs Italy prediction will lean towards a first-half draw.

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Main tip: 1st Half Draw

Our Croatia vs Italy predictions

According to the statistics and the odds of the bookmakers, we suggest the following tips:

Prediction 1: 1st Half Draw

3 reasons why we back the game to have a halftime stalemate:

• Their recent 3 direct meetings ended in a 1-1 for each of the matches
• 5 of their previous 8 H2H encounters featured a halftime draw
• There’s very little to separate them, with Croatia at 9th and Italy at 10th on FIFA Rankings

Odds for this bet

Betboro offers competitive odds for the bet “1st Half Draw”

The odd of 2.13 means that the bookmakers are calculating with a likelihood of approx. 47% chance that this game will feature a halftime stalemate.

Odds comparison for 1st Half Draw

Betboro – odd 2.13
Betwinner – odd 2.10

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Prediction 2: Under 2.5 Goals

3 reasons why we back this game to produce at most 2 goals:

• 7 out of their last 8 H2H encounters produced at most 2 total match goals
• Both teams are averaging 2.00 goals per game in their 2 group games
• A lot is at stake, with Croatia at 4th, and Italy at 2nd, and neither side should come all out

Odds for this bet

Paripesa offers competitive odds for “Under 2.5 Goals”

The odd of 1.87 means that the bookmakers are calculating with a likelihood of approx. 53% chance that this match will produce at most 2 total match goals.

Odds comparisons for Under 2.5 Goals

Paripesa – odd 1.87
Betboro – odd 1.85

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Prediction 3: DC Croatia/Draw

3 reasons why we back Croatia/Draw to avoid defeat:

• Croatia is unbeaten in their last 8 direct meetings with Italy
• It’s a win or burst for Croatia at 4th with 1 point, and they should at least avoid defeat on their search for a winner
• Croatia have only lost 1 of their last 8 matches (5W, 2D, 1L)

Statistics for Croatia vs Italy Prediction

Team news Croatia!

• Marksman Nikola Vlasic sustained a new muscle injury and is withdrawn from the Croatian Euro 2024 squad.
• Coach Zlatko Dalic made strategic changes to the starting XI following a disappointing result against Spain, with veterans Ivan Perisic, Juranovic, and Pektovic stepping up in their 2-2 draw against Albania. It looks like Dalic will keep faith in this squad as they make their final push for advancement in the tournament

Team news Italy!

• Despite bowing out of a narrow defeat to Spain, Luciano Spalletti is expected to field a similar XI against Croatia
• It’s left to see if Spellatti can break the curse his predecessor, Roberto Mancini, endured against Croatia (winless in 3 direct meetings with Croatia)

H2H statistics

Let’s take a look at their last 8 meetings.

• Croatia won 3 matches, Italy had no win, and 5 matches were drawn
• They scored an average of 2.00 goals per match
• The last time they met, it ended in a 1-1 draw

Latest results Croatia

• 3 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss in their last 5 matches
• 11 goals scored in their last 5 matches. Average 2.20 goals per match
• They drew 2-2 with Albania during their last match

Latest results Italy

• 3 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss in their last 5 matches
• 5 goals scored in their last 5 matches. Average 1.00 goals per match
• They lost 1-0 against Spain during their last match

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