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Netherlands - Turkey
Euro 2024
Sat, 06.07.2024 – 10:00 PM GMT+3
our main tip:
Over 3.5 Goals

Netherlands vs Turkey prediction

After a lacklustre performance through the group stage that saw them qualify to the knockout stage as one of the best ranked 3rd place teams, Netherlands brought their A-Game in the round of 16 matchup against Romania as they outclassed them with a comprehensive and well-deserved 3-0 win. Despite this flattering scoreline, Ronald Koeman’s charges had to work for every one of those goals against a resolute Romania side to earn their first Euros knockout win since 2004

Turkey continued their terrific showing at the Euros with an impressive 2-1 win over a highly fancied Austria side in their knockout clash. Defender Merih Demiral took advantage of defensive mixups at the back for Austria to score the fastest goal at the Euros after just 57 seconds and that helped calm their nerves and take control of the match. They proceeded to score a second in the 2nd half and although the Austrians battled and clawed one back, the Crescent Stars held on after surviving the nervy moments at the end.

This game has goals written all over it. Both of these teams love to attack but have also shown some vulnerability at the back. The Oranje’s 3 goal output last time out was the 4th time this calendar year that they achieved that feat. Turkey’s games have been pure entertainment in a tournament that has been devoid of goals, particularly in the group games. We fancy another explosive game here with a bucketload of goals hence why we are picking Over 3.5 Goals as our opening Netherlands vs Turkey prediction for this game

Make the most of our Euro 2024 predictions for upcoming knockout rounds

Main Tip: Over 3.5 Goals

Our Netherlands vs Turkey predictions

According to the statistics and the odds of the bookmakers, we suggest the following tips:

Prediction 1: Over 3.5 Goals

Here are 3 reasons why we are backing this game to have at least 4 goals scored:

  • The last 4 H2H matches between these teams have averaged 4.50 goals a match
  • Netherlands have scored twice in 5 of their last 6 matches; for Turkey this has been the case in 3 of their last 4 matches
  • Turkey’s matches at this tournament have all had at least 3 total goals; For Netherlands, this has been the case in 3 of their 4 matches

Odds for this bet

1Win offers competitive odds for the bet “Over 3.5 Goals

The odd of 3.00 means that the bookmakers are calculating with a likelihood of approx. 33% chance that this match will have at least 4 total goals scored

Odds comparison for Over 3.5 Goals

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10Bet- odd 2.95

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Prediction 2: Over 9.5 Corners

3 reasons why we are backing this match to have at least 10 total corners:

  • 3 of their 4 H2H matches have had at least 10 corners
  • Netherlands have averaged 9 corners a game in their last 2 matches by themselves; For Turkey, their last 3 matches have seen them average 6 corners a match
  • Turkey’s last 3 straight matches have all had 10 total corners

Odds for this bet

Paripesa offers competitive odds for “Over 9.5 Corners”

The odd of 1.71 means that the bookmakers are calculating with a likelihood of approx. There is a 58% this match will have at least 10 total corners taken

Odds comparisons Over 9.5 Corners

Paripesa – odd 1.71
Betwinner – odd 1.68

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Prediction 3: Depay Anytime Goalscorer

Here’s why we feel there is value in backing Netherland’s forward Memphis Depay to Score Anytime:

  • He has scored one goal so far but has had the most attempts on target
  • Depay is the official penalty taker for the team
  • In their last encounter against Turkey, he scored a hat-trick

Statistics for Netherlands vs Turkey Prediction

Team News Netherlands

  • Koeman backline against Romania was solid as compared to their previous group games. He is likely to stick with Ake, van Dijk, de Vrij, and Dumfries at the back
  • Donyell Malen’s brace against Romania off the bench may have made a case for him to start but the coach will likely maintain him to provide the spark off the bench yet again
  • AC Milan’s Tijjani Reijnders will continue playing deeper midfield role alongside Jerdy Schouten

Team News Turkey

  • The Crescent Stars’ sensation Arda Guler continued shining with a terrific assist for Demiral against Austria. He is expected to continue his brilliant performance down the flanks alongside the other 19-year-old Kenan Yildz
  •  Influential captain Hakan Calhanoglu and centre-back Samet Akaydin missed their round-of-16 tie vs Austria and will now be available for selection here. Calhanoglu will be back in a deep midfield role alongside either Kaan Ayhan or Dormund’s Salih Ozcan
  • Turkey’s hero, Merih Demiral, shone brightly in the match against Austria, leading his team to the quarter-finals with two vital goals. However, his celebration of a ‘Wolf Salute’ has sparked controversy and raised concerns about a potential ban, which makes him a doubt for this game. 

H2H statistics

Looking at the last 10 meetings between these teams:

  • Netherlands have 4 wins, Turhey 3 wins and 3 games were drawn
  • These matches averaged 3.20 goals a match
  • Netherlands won 6-1 the last time they met

Latest results Netherlands

  • 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss in their last 5 matches
  • 11 goals scored in these last 5 matches. Average of 2.20 goals per match
  • Thrashed Romania 3-0 in their last 16 knockout match

Latest results Turkey

  • 3 wins and 2 losses in their last 5 matches
  • 7 goals scored in these last 5 matches. Average 1.40 goals per match
  • Edged Austria 2-1 in their knockout match
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