Spain vs England prediction

An audacious strike from Barcelona’s16-year-old Lamine Yamal followed up by a display of magical touches and tremendous composure and finish from another youngster Dani Olmo confirmed Spain’s place in Sunday’s Euro Finals with a 2-1 comeback win over France in the semis. La Roja have dominated the tournament and are the only team to have won all their matches with their talented youngsters announcing their arrival on the big stage in style. Fears of stage fright for the youngsters have been put to bed and they now are on the precipice of delivering their ultimate prize for an expectant Basque nation

England on their part have not really lived up to the expectations but have done just enough to get through the group stage as well as the knockout rounds including a 2-1 win over Netherlands in the semis to secure their second successive Euro finals and their first outside home soil. There have been criticism of Gareth Southgate’s suitability for the England manager job but he has yet again got the job done, albeit without much buzz or finesse in their style of play. The end justifies the means though and only Spain now stands between them and the chance to grab their first major trophy win since their triumph in the 1966 World Cup

The curtains come down on this terrific football showpiece on Sunday and this final is one that many have been looking for. The clash in style between these two sides provide the perfect backdrop for what should be an exciting final. Conventional wisdom dictates that Spain are the favorites for the cup here based on how they have played. But England have shown terrific mental fortitude and that could play a major factor in this final. We are therefore backing England on the double chance as our main Spain vs England prediction for this clash

Follow our Euro 2024 predictions for the final and stand by to cash in on our expert tips!

Main Tip: Double Chance – England/Draw

Our Spain vs England predictions

According to the statistics and the odds of the bookmakers, we suggest the following tips:

Prediction 1: Double Chance – England/Draw

Here are 3 reasons why we are backing England to Win or Draw this match:

• England have lost just once in their last 5 H2H meetings with Spain
• Although Spain have won all their matches in this tournament, England are undefeated, albeit with a number of drawn matches across the group and knockout phase
• The Red Lions have looked better with every round and could very well bring out their best game in the final

Odds for this bet

1Win offers competitive odds for the bet “Double Chance – England/Draw”

The odd of 1.57 means that the bookmakers are calculating with a likelihood of approx. 64% chance that England will win or draw this match

Odds comparison for Double Chance – England/Draw

1Win – odd 1.57
Bet365 – odd 1.53

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Prediction 2: More Corners – Spain

3 reasons why we are backing Spain to have more corners in this match:

• Spain have dominated the corner count in 4 of their 6 games at these
• They have also had more corners in 3 of the last 5 H2H with England including a 12-0 advantage in their most recent meeting
• Stylistically, Spain’s possession-based game is bound to yield more corners against an English side that will be happy to sit back and hit on counters

Odds for this bet

Paripesa offers competitive odds for “More Corners – Spain

The odd of 1.60 means that the bookmakers are calculating with a likelihood of approx. a 63% that Spain will have more corners than England in this match

Odds comparisons More Corners – Spain

Paripesa – odd 1.60
Betwinner – odd 1.57

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Prediction 3: Over 4.5 Bookings

Here’s why we feel there is value in backing this match to have at least 4 total bookings dished out:

• There is no love lost between these two European heavyweights. 4 of the last 5 H2H meetings have had at least 5 bookings
• 3 of England’s last 4 matches have witnessed at least 5 bookings;
• 2 of Spain’s last 3 matches has had them picking up at least 2 bookings as a team

Statistics for Spain vs England Prediction

Team News Spain

• Influential right-back Dani Carvajal and France-born defender Robin Le Normand will be available for selection after they both served suspensions in the semifinal win over France
• Midfielder Pedri who was forced off in the early stages of the quarterfinal will be forced to watch from the sidelines after being assessed with a medial collateral ligament knee sprain and won’t play this summer
• Dani Olmo’s star continued shining with what turned out to be the winning goal against France. He is expected to get the nod to start ahead of Alvaro Morata who has not provided much of a threat
• Yamal and Nico Williams have been a revelation for the Spanish team and they expected to once again team up in the attacking third, while Rodri is also set to keep his place in midfield alongside Ruiz

Team News England

• Despite Ezri Konsa putting in a brilliant defensive shift in the quarter-final triumph over Switzerland, Marc Guehi – who was suspended for the success over the Rossocrociati – returned to the backline against the Netherlands in what was Southgate’s only change
• England left-back Luke Shaw did not start but he was brought on at the start of the 2nd half in this semifinal and put in a solid shift in his first game at this Euros. He offers more attacking threat than Kieran Trippier and could be an option to start the final
• Man United sensation Kobbie Maino has received widespread plaudits for his performances in midfield. He will keep his starting place alongside Arsenal’s Declan Rice at the heart of the midfield
• Ollie Watkins brilliant winner that earned him a man of the match award certainly means he has a stake in the final. He is however expected to still come off the bench with Southgate Still expected to pivot his attack through Harry Kane upfront

H2H statistics

Looking at the last 10 meetings between these teams:

• Spain have the edge with 5 wins, England 3 wins and 2 games were drawn
• These matches averaged 2.20 goals a match
• England won 3-2 in their most recent encounter

Latest results Spain

• 4 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss in their last 5 matches
• 9 goals scored in these last 5 matches. Average of 1.80 goals per match
• Defeated France 2-1 in their semifinal match

Latest results England

• 1 win and 4 draws in their last 5 matches
• 5 goals scored in these last 5 matches. Average 1.00 goals per match
• Edged Netherlands 2-1 in their semifinal match

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