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Spain - Germany
Euro 2024
Fri, 05.07.2024 – 7:00 PM GMT+3

Spain vs Germany prediction

Spain turned on the style as they walloped Georgia 4-1 in the Round of 16 to make it 4 straight wins at Euro 2024 so far. An early own goal may have given Georgia the lead, but Spain were in control throughout the game and managed to level before halftime. The second half was mostly Spain attacking with the Georgia keeper doing his best to keep the score respectable. Spain are likely to start the same team against Germany as all players are available.

Germany were also impressive in the Round of 16 with a 2-0 win over Denmark. It was a tough game which saw them go into halftime still tied at 0-0 before Havertz scored from the spot following a controversial penalty. The second goal was in no doubt as Jamal Musiala curled one into the bottom far corner with over 20 minutes to go. Denmark enjoyed some good spells of possession but did not cause too much trouble to Manuel Neuer in the German goal.

This is without a doubt the biggest fixture at Euro 2024 so far, with both teams having the potential to go all the way and win it. Spain scored 14 goals and Germany 12 goals in their last 5 matches respectively. We feel that each team will be able to get at least a goal here. Our Spain vs Germany prediction is Both Teams To Score.

We have Euro 2024 predictions for all the matches in the knockout phase. Win with our expert tips.

Main tip: Both Teams To Score

Our Spain vs Germany Predictions

According to the statistics and the odds of the bookmakers, we suggest the following tips:

Prediction 1: Both Teams To Score

  • 3 of Germany’s last 5 games had both teams scoring
  • Both teams were on the scoresheet in Spain’s last game, a 4-1 win over Georgia
  • 3 of the last 4 head-to-head matches saw both teams scoring

Odds for this bet

Helabet offers competitive odds for the bet “Both Teams To Score”

The odd of 1.78 means that the bookmakers are calculating with a likelihood of approx. 56% chance that each team will get a goal in this match.

Odds comparison for Both Teams To Score

Helabet – odds 1.78
Betwinner – odds 1.78

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Prediction 2: Over 2.5 Goals

  • 3 of Spain’s last 5 games scored over 2.5 Goals
  • Germany have scored 12 goals in their last 5 games. Average 2.40 goals per game
  • Spain have scored 14 goals in their last 5 games. Average 2.80 goals per game

Odds for this bet

1XBet offers competitive odds for “Over 2.5 Goals”

The odd of 2.11 means that the bookmakers are calculating with a likelihood of approx. 47% chance that there will be at least 3 total goals scored in this match.

Odds comparisons for Over 2.5 Goals

1XBet – odds 2.11
Mozzartbet – odds 2.11

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Prediction 3: Double Chance – Spain or Draw

  • Spain have 5 straight wins in their last 5 matches
  • Spain are unbeaten against Germany in the last 4 encounters (won 1, drew 3)
  • Spain was the only side to win all 3 group games

Statistics for Spain vs Germany Prediction

Spain Team News

  • Spain Manager Luis de la Fuente will maintain a bulk of the team that began the game against Georgia, although there may be an alteration in the attacking third of the pitch
  • After coming off the bench to score the team’s fourth goal, Dani Olmo will likely secure a starting position, replacing Alvaro Morata, who has not been a significant threat in recent matches
  • Yamal and Williams are expected to once again team up in the attacking third following an outstanding performance in the 4-1 win against Georgia, while Rodri is also set to keep his place in midfield alongside Ruiz and Pedri.
  • Nacho Fernandez and Ayoze Perez should be available to play after not featuring in the last game due to fitness concerns

Germany Team News

  • Julian Nagelsmann has a decision to make on who starts at center back: the recently recovered Jonathan Tah or Schlotterbeck. The latter’s impressive performance against Denmark, having his first-half goal disallowed, and assisting Germany’s second goal, gives him a slight edge
  • Coach Julian Nagelsmann remains non-committal on who will start ahead of the other between Leroy Sane and Florian Wirtz. He says they have to observe this week’s training before deciding
  • David Raum is expected to continue at left back ahead of Mittelstadt after a good showing in the last match
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H2H statistics

We look at the last 9 matches between these teams:

  • Spain got 4 wins, Germany 2 wins, 3 matches were drawn
  • These matches scored an average of 2.67 goals per match
  • The last time they met, they drew 1-1

Latest results Spain

  • 5 straight wins in their last 5 matches
  • 14 goals scored in their last 5 matches. Average 2.80 goals per match
  • They beat Georgia 4-1 in their last match

Latest results Germany

  • 4 wins and 1 draw in their last 5 matches
  • 12 goals scored in their last 5 matches. Average 2.40 goals per match
  • They beat Denmark 2-0 in their last match
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