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Switzerland - Italy
Euro 2024
Sat, 29.06.2024 – 7:00 PM GMT+3

Switzerland vs Italy prediction

Switzerland and Italy are set to open the knockout rounds this Saturday with one thing in common they have which is their very tight defense line that can cause an upset to any player seeking a quick goal.

Switzerland made a very good impression before advancing to the knockout round by displaying their defense solidity, allowing only a goal per match while remaining undefeated in all three rounds. Their ability to sustain high pressure makes them a tough opponent in the knockout round. Switzerland is expected to extend its teamwork spirit in this round to maintain its fortress form which granted them the 2 recent back-to-back ties with the Italians.

Italy is coming from a very tough game against Croatia which was almost directing them toward the exit door of the Euro 2024 tournament thanks to a last-minute equalizer goal from Zaccagni. They are more ambitious than their opponent Swiss in this stage as they are set to defend the title. The last time they were up against Switzerland they had an easy day in office as they collected an easy and clean win.

Both defense of these teams looks tight so we expect their boxes to completely be locked hence we advise you to wager on a Draw in your Switzerland vs Italy prediction.

Learn how to pick the best betting strategies in the knock round in our Euro 2024 Predictions 

Main tip: Draw

Our Switzerland vs Italy predictions

According to the statistics and the odds of the bookmakers, we suggest the following tips:

Prediction 1: Draw

3 reasons why we back a Draw:

  • Their last 5/6 recent matches ended with a draw
  • Switzerland has 3/4 recent matches that ended with a tie
  • The last matches of Italy in this tournament ended with a draw

Odds for this bet

Melbet offers competitive odds for the bet “Draw”

The odd of 2.99 means that the bookmakers are calculating with a likelihood of approx. 33% chance that there will be a draw in this match.

Odds Comparison for Draw

Melbet – odds 2.99
Betway – odds 2.99

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Prediction 2: Under 2.5 Goals

3 reasons why we back Under 2.5 Goals:

  • Goal conceived per match in the recent 5 matches: Switzerland is 0.8, Italy is 0.8
  • Total goals in the Euro 2024 fixtures per round: Switzerland is 2.67, Italy is 2.0
  • They have 6/7 recent meetups with Under 2.5 Goals

Odds for this bet

1xBet offers competitive odds for “Under 2.5 Goals”

The odd of 1.50 means that the bookmakers are calculating with a likelihood of approx. 67% chance that there will be no more than 2 goals in this match.

Odds Comparisons for Under 2.5 Goals

1xbet – odds 1.50
Paripesa – odds 1.50

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Prediction 3: Under 4.5 Cards

3 reasons why we are backing Under 4.5 Cards

  • There are no more than 4 cards in their recent 7/9 meetups
  • Less than 4.5 cards were booked in Italy’s recent 6/8 matches
  • Just 4 players were booked in Switzerland’s 3rd round in group stage match

Statistics for Switzerland vs Italy Prediction

Team news Switzerland!

  • Silvan Widmer is banned hence Murat Yakin will be required to look for a replacement. Ndoye could be an alternate player
  • Breel Embolo played for the first time in Euro 2024 in the recent match against Germany but still struggling with injury

Team news Italy!

  • Luciano Spalletti might need to make a few changes following Ricardo Calafiori’s suspension.
  • Gianluca Mancini is likely to start in this knockout round
  • Spalletti is not yet inspired by current performance despite bringing in Matteo Darmian into his back three against Croatia

H2H statistics

Considering the 7 most current encounters:

  • Italy has 2 wins and 5 draws
  • These matches scored an average of 1.71 goals per match
  • They had a 1-1 tie in their last match

Latest results Switzerland

  • 2 wins, and 3 draws in their recent 5 matches
  • 10 goals were scored in their last 5 matches. Average 2.00 goals per match
  • They had a 1-1 tie with Germany in the recent match

Latest results Italy

  • 2 wins, 2 draws, and a loss in their recent 5 matches
  • 3 goals were scored in their last 5 matches. Average 0.60 goals per match
  • They had a 1-1 tie with Croatia in the recent match
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