Villarreal vs Atletico Madrid prediction
After a rather lacklustre showing this season, Villarreal have seemingly turned a corner with a strong finish to the season. A 1-0 victory over Valencia was their fourth straight La Liga win to maintain their unbeaten status at home across all competitions in 2024
Atletico Madrid are on a slippery slope on the domestic front. 2 wins in their last La Liga matches has seen them drop out of the top 4 as they currently sit in 5th place a point behind Athletic Bilbao as we get to the final stretch of the season. Simeone’s side triumphed over AC Milan in the last-16 matchup to book their place in the quarterfinals of the UCL. But they were a no-match for bitter rivals Barcelona last time out as they lost 3-0 at their Metropolitano Stadium
With both teams looking to finish the season strong, we can expect a close encounter here with limited scoring opportunities either way. We are therefore backing this match to have no more than 3 total goals scored as our main Villarreal vs Atletico Madrid prediction
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Main tip: Under 3.5 Goals
Our Villarreal vs Atletico Madrid predictions
According to the statistics and the odds of the bookmakers, we suggest the following tips:
Prediction 1: Under 3.5 Goals
8 of the last 10 H2H meetings at this venue between these two teams witnessed no more than 3 goals
Although Villarreal is scoring goals for fun, Atletico are struggling to get anything going. They have failed to score in three of their last 5 matches
We expect a cagey encounter here with limited scoring opportunities. We are therefore picking this game to have at fewer than 4 total goals with great odds for this market offered at 1Win
Odds for this bet
1Win offers competitive odds for the bet “Under 3.5 Goals”
The odd of 1.53 means that the bookmakers are calculating with a likelihood of approx. 65% chance that this match will have no more than 3 total goals scored
Odds comparison for Under 3.5 Goals
1Win – odd 1.53
Bet365 – odd 1.50
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Prediction 2: Most Goals 2nd Half
4 of the last 6 H2H meetings between these teams have had more goals scored in the 2nd half
We expect another close match here with both teams looking to finish the season strong. We are therefore backing this game to have more goals in the 2nd half with decent odds for this option offered at Paripesa
Odds for this bet
Paripesa offers competitive odds for “Most Goals 2nd Half”
The odd of 2.01 means that the bookmakers are calculating with a likelihood of approx. 50% chance that this match will have more goals in the 2nd half of this match than the 1st half
Odds comparisons Most Goals 2nd Half
Paripesa – odd 2.01
1xBet- odd 2.01
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Prediction 3: Over 3.5 Bookings
Villarreal are on a great streak with 4 straight wins in La Liga. Atletico are struggling at the moment but are looking to get themselves back in the top 4.
With this in mind, we fancy both teams to come here with full focus trying to pick the points on offer.
Given the stakes at play, we are expecting a physical encounter here and we are backing this match to have at least 4 bookings as our final Villarreal vs Atletico Madrid prediction for this match.
Statistics for Villarreal vs Atletico Madrid Prediction
H2H statistics
Looking at the last 10 meetings between these teams:
- Atletico Madrid have 4 wins, Villarreal just 1 win and 5 matches were drawn
- These matches averaged just 2.60 goals a match
- Atletico Madrid won the last encounter 3-1
Latest results Villarreal
- 3 wins and 2 losses in their last 5 matches
- 12 goals scored in these last 5 matches. Average of 2.40 goals per match
- Edged Valencia 1-0 in their last match
Latest results Atletico Madrid
- 2 wins and 3 losses in their last 5 matches
- 4 goals scored in these last 5 matches. Average 0.80 goals per match
- Lost 3-0 at home to Barcelona in their last match
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Possible squad Villarreal & Atletico Madrid
| Line up | Villarreal | Atletico Madrid |
|---|---|---|
| Goalkeeper | Jörgensen | Oblak |
| Defense | Femenía, Bailly, Cuenca, Moreno | Hermoso, Paulista, Witsel |
| Midfield | Akhomach, Comesaña, Coquelin, Baena | Lino, Saúl, Koke, de Paul, Molina |
| Forward | Moreno, Sørloth | Morata, Correa |
| Missing | Ruiz de (Knock), Paredes (Knock), Berchiche (Hamstring), Herrera (Hamstring) | Lucero (direct red card), De Paul (accumulated yellow cards), Hermoso (Muscle), Giménez (Thigh), Lemar (Achilles), Pérez (ACL) |
| Coach | Marcelino García Toral | Diego Simeone |
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