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PSG - Montpellier
Ligue 1
Fri, 23.08.2024 – 9:45 PM GMT+3
our main tip:
HC -1 PSG Win

PSG vs Montpellier prediction

PSG wasted no time in showcasing their determination to reclaim the Ligue 1 title, obliterating Le Havre with a commanding 4-1 victory in their season opener. Now, as they prepare for a seemingly straightforward home clash against Montpellier, the Parisians are riding high on confidence – having triumphed over this opponent in their last 6 encounters while netting 23 goals. With an unbeaten run stretching across 5 matches and an average of 1.80 goals scored per match, PSG boasts statistics that firmly tilt in favor of Luiz Enrique’s formidable squad.

On the contrary, Montpellier navigated through a somewhat turbulent start to the season, finding solace in a 1-1 draw against Strasbourg that was certainly better than suffering a total loss of points. After finishing mid-table last year, Michel Der Zakarian is keenly aware that this stalemate needs to transform into momentum for his team. However, potential optimism is tempered by the harsh reality of their recent form: with only one victory out of their last nine matches (1W, 3D, and 5L). Montpellier’s struggles may hold heavy implications as they aim to shake off the ghosts of previous defeats against PSG.

Montpellier, despite their resilience, may find themselves weathering a storm as PSG crafts a plethora of significant goal-scoring opportunities throughout the match. And this will likely result in at least a 2-goal margin in favor of PSG by the final whistle.

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Main tip: Handicap -1 PSG Win

Our PSG vs Montpellier predictions

According to the statistics and the odds of the bookmakers, we suggest the following tips:

Prediction 1: Handicap -1 PSG Win

3 reasons why we PSG to win by a 2-goal margin:

  • Each of their last 5 H2H meetings saw PSG triumph by a 2-goal margin against Montpellier
  • PSG is have not lost in their last 6 matches (4 wins and 2 draws), include their 4-1 first Ligue 1 game
  • Montpellier has managed only 1 win in 9 matches (1 win, 3 draws, and 5 losses)

Odds for this bet

Betboro offers competitive odds for the bet “Handicap -1 PSG Win”

The odd of 1.76 means that the bookmakers are calculating with a likelihood of approx. 57% chance that PSG will win this match by a 2-goal margin.

Odds comparison for Handicap -1 PSG Win

Betboro – odd 1.76
Betwinner – odd 1.75

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Prediction 2: Over 2.5 Goals

3 reasons why we back at least 3 goals to be scored:

  • 5 of PSG’s previous 7 matches produced 3 or more total match goals
  • Their last 5 direct meetings featured a goal average of 5.20 goals per game
  • 4 of Montpellier’s recent 5 matches featured over 2.5 goals at full-time

Odds for this bet

Paripesa offers competitive odds for “Over 2.5 Goals”

The odd of 1.38 means that the bookmakers are calculating with a likelihood of approx. 72% chance that this game will produce at least 3 total match goals.

Odds comparisons for Over 2.5 Goals

Paripesa – odd 1.38
Betboro – odd 1.36

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Prediction 3: PSG Over 1.5 Goals

3 reasons why we back PSG to score at least 2 goals:

  • PSG has scored 11 total goals in the last 5 matches (averaging 2.20 goals per game)
  • PSG have scored a combined 23 goals in their last 5 meetings with Montpellier
  • Montpellier have conceded 9 goals in their last 5 matches (1.80 goal average)

Statistics PSG vs Montpellier Prediction

Team news PSG!

  • PSG remains without Kimpembe and Hernandez, sidelined by lingering injuries from the previous season.
  • Adding to the woes, Goncalo Ramos exited early during their impressive 4-1 victory over Le Havre due to an ankle injury, and will not feature in this match
  • Muani, Barcola, and Dembele stepped off the bench with flair, each scoring against Le Havre and bolstering their case for prominent roles in attack ahead of Mbayer and Asensio
  • New signing Joao Neves made a splash in his debut by coming off the bench to provide two assists in PSG’s opening match and should be available for a starting role

Team news Montpellier!

  • Montpellier heads into their matchup facing significant challenges with key players sidelined: Jullien, Sylla, Fayad, and Davin Saint-Luce are all nursing injuries
  • Coach Michel Der Zakarian will look to integrate some fresh faces like Yann Karamoh from Torino and Silvan Hefti from Genoa, adding depth to the roster
  • Notably, Modibo from Utrecht made his debut in the season opener which ended in a 1-1 draw, and should be tasked to keep things tight at the back once more

H2H statistics

We will consider their last 32 direct meetings

  • PSG had 19 wins, Montpellier had 4 wins, and 9 matches were drawn
  • Their last 32 meetings featured an average of 3.25 goals per match
  • In their last meeting, PSG won 6-2 at full-time

Latest results PSG

  • 3 wins, and 2 draws in their last 5 matches
  • 11 goals scored in their last 5 matches. Average 2.20 goals per match
  • They won 4-1 against Le Havre during their last match

Latest results Montpellier

  • 1 win, 1 draw, and 3 losses in their last 5 matches
  • 6 goals scored in their last 5 matches. Average 1.20 goals per match
  • They drew 1-1 with Strasbourg during their last match
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