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Manchester City - Watford
EFL Cup
Tue, 24.09.2024 – 9:45 PM GMT+3
our main tip:
Correct Score 3-0

Manchester City vs Watford prediction

A Cup that was a shoo-in for Pep Guardiola in his earlier years at Manchester City has proven elusive in recent times. Since winning the fourth in a row in the 2020/21 Covid season, Manchester City are yet to add another EFL crown to their collection. They’ll be hoping to rekindle the memories this season as they set off their campaign at home against Watford on Tuesday. They have a little turnaround time from their absorbing Premier League contest with title challengers Arsenal on Sunday that ended 2-2

Watford seemed to have started tremendously under Tom Cleverly but they seem to be stuck in a rut at the moment with a slate of disappointing results in the month of September ss they have only taken a paltry one point from three Championship games this month, losing to Sheffield United and Norwich City either side of a home draw with Coventry City. They have nevertheless fared well in the cup and will be hoping to pull an upset here.

City fell at this stage of the competition last season and they will be looking to avoid such pitfalls here. They have just a full day to recover from their Sunday match. We nevertheless expect them to come out with a bang here and we are picking the game to end 3-0 in their favor

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Main Tip: Correct Score 3-0

Our Manchester City vs Watford predictions

According to the statistics and the odds of the bookmakers, we suggest the following tips:

Prediction 1: Correct Score 3-0

Here are 3 reasons why we are backing this match to end with a correct score of 3-0:

  • City have been dominant at home with 13 wins in the last 14 matches
  • They have scored at least three goals in 8 of these 13 wins
  • They have also won the last 10 H2H matches against Watford and scored at least 3 goals on 7 occasions

Odds for this bet

1Win offers competitive odds for the bet “Correct Score 3-0

The odd of 7.00 means that the bookmakers are calculating with a likelihood of approx. 14% chance that Manchester City will win this match by a correct score of 3-0

Odds comparison for Correct Score 3-0

1Win – odd 7.00
10Bet – odd 6.80

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Prediction 2: Man City Over 6.5 Corners

3 reasons why we are backing Manchester City to take at least 7 corners in this match:

  • Man City’s last 5 games have seen them take at least 7 corners
  • 2 of their 3 H2H meetings have also had City taking at least 7 corners
  • Watford’s last 3 games have seen them concede at least 7 corners

Odds for this bet

Paripesa offers competitive odds for “Man City Over 6.5 Corners”

The odd of 1.41 means that the bookmakers are calculating with a likelihood of approx. 71% that Manchester City will have at least 7 total corners in this match

Odds comparisons Man City Over 6.5 Corners

Paripesa – odd 1.41
Betwinner – odd 1.40

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Prediction 3: HT/FT Man City/Man City

Here’s why we feel there is value in picking Man City to lead at halftime and fulltime in this match:

  • Man City have led at half time and full time in 5 of their last 6 home games
  • They have also won 13 of the last 14 home games across all competitions
  • In 5 of the last 6 H2H matches, City led at haltime and fulltime

Statistics for Manchester City vs Watford Prediction

Team News Manchester City

  • Injuries: Rodri’s return was shortlived and he seems to have aggravated his ACL at the weekend. Kevin De Bruyne (Groin) and Nathan Ake (thigh) are also expected to miss here. As is Oscar Bobb who is suffering from a broken leg
  • Rotation: A full 11 changes cannot be ruled out by Pep Guardiola, who could also raid the club’s Under-21s ranks to help fill his selection for Tuesday’s game, where the highly-rated Nico O’Reilly could play a prominent role
  • Starters: Phil Foden could feature in the starting lineup as the lead striker here with Pep looking to give his cyborg Erlin Haaland a breather after his red hot start to the season

Team News Watford

  • Injuries: Watford have a defensive crisis as goalkeeper Daniel Bachmann and centre-back Francisco Sierralta were both taken off within just a few minutes of each other in the first quarter of the game against Norwich. Their fitness is still in limbo for this match
  • Backup: Should they fail to make the game, backup goalkeeper Jonathan Bond and defender Ryan Porteous will be on standby in the XI as their replacements.
  • Cup Tied: Striker Daniel Jebbison played for Bournemouth in the second round before his loan move to Vicarage Road and is therefore ineligible for selection here

H2H statistics

Assessing the last 10 meetings between these teams:

  • Man City have totally dominated, winning all 10 matches
  • The average goals scored in these encounters was 4.00
  • City won 5-1 in their last meeting back in 2022 EPL season

Latest results Manchester City

  • 3 wins and 2 draws in their last 5 matches
  • 11 goals scored in these last 5 matches. Average of 2.20 goals per match
  • Drew 2-2 with Arsenal at home in their last match

Latest results Watford

  • 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses in their last 5 matches
  • 7 goals scored in these last 5 matches. Average 1.40 goals per match
  • Lost 4-1 away at Norwich in their last match
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