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Marseille - Paris Saint-Germain
Ligue 1
Sun, 27.10.2024 – 10:45 PM GMT+3
our main tip:
Correct Score 1-1

Marseille vs Paris Saint-Germain prediction

In a thrilling showdown this Sunday, Marseille will face off against the formidable Champions PSG, and all eyes will be on Roberto De Zerbi as he seeks to maintain Marseille’s impressive form. The home crowd can take solace in their recent performances; unbeaten in their last 6 matches at Stade Velodrome with 2 victories and 4 draws. Their attacking flair has shone brightly too, netting an impressive 11 goals over the last 5 outings. Despite being labeled underdogs against a powerhouse like PSG, De Zerbi’s side’s momentum could very well spark an upset.

On the other hand, PSG finds themselves nursing their wounds after a disappointing 1-1 stalemate against PSV in the Champions League, which has cast a shadow over their recent performances, with just 1 win in the last 4 outings. However, buoyed by an unbeaten run in Ligue 1, where they boast 6 wins and 2 draws while netting the league’s high 25 goals across just 8 matches, Luis Enrique’s side can approach their next fixture with renewed confidence. Sitting atop the league standings and riding high on an incredible streak of 28 consecutive away matches without defeat, including 9 trips to Marseille, PSG’s quality remains undeniable as they look to turn their fortunes around.

With a fresh roster and renewed determination, Marseille will aim to shatter their long-standing winless streak against the Parisians, who have remained undefeated in their last 11 encounters at Stade Velodrome (7W, 4D). While PSG’s recent struggles lend hope to the home team, it’s hard to ignore their prolific scoring ability coupled with solid form in Ligue 1. Hence, we anticipate a very close encounter where PSG maintains its unbeaten form in a 1-1 stalemate.

Check out our top-notch French Ligue 1 betting tips for this weekend for free to increase your chances of winning!

Main tip: Correct Score 1-1

Our Marseille vs PSG predictions

According to the statistics and the odds of the bookmakers, we suggest the following tips:

Prediction 1: Correct score 1-1

3 reasons why we back the game to end with a 1-1 score:

  • 2 of Paris Saint-Germain’s last 3 away matches have ended in 1-1 draws
  • 2 out of Marseille’s last 3 home games have ended in draws
  • Marseille at home saw 1-1 score, while PSG at away saw 1-1 in their most recent Ligue 1 games

Odds for this bet

Betboro offers competitive odds for the bet “Correct score 1-1”

The odd of 7.40 means that the bookmakers are calculating with a likelihood of approx. 14% chance that this game will end in a 1-1 final score.

Odds comparison for Correct score 1-1

1Win – odd 7.40
Betwinner – odd 7.32

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Prediction 2: DC Marseille/Draw

3 reasons why we back Marseille to avoid defeat:

  • Marseille is unbeaten in their previous 5 home matches (3W, 2D)
  • Paris Saint-Germain is winless in their previous 3 away matches
  • Paris Saint-Germain have only won 1 out of the last 4 matches (1W, 2D, 1L)

Odds for this bet

Paripesa offers competitive odds for “DC Marseille/Draw”

The odd of 1.86 means that the bookmakers are calculating with a likelihood of approx. 54% chance that Marseille will get at least a point in this match.

Odds comparisons for DC Marseille/Draw

Paripesa – odd 1.86
Betboro – odd 1.82

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Prediction 3: Over 8.5 Corners

3 reasons why we back at least 9 corners in this match:

  • Their last 5 H2H meetings have averaged 10.00 corners per match
  • PSG’s previous 5 matches have averaged 12.60 corners per game
  • Marseille’s recent 4 games featured a 10.25 corner average per match

Statistics Marseille vs PSG Prediction

Team news Marseille!

  • Absentees: Roberto De Zerbi’s squad’s depth will be tested as they miss out on Kone, Merlin, Moumbagna, and Valentin Carboni due to injuries, with the latter set to miss out until June 2025
  • Maupay’s Comeback: Neal Maupay is set to make his return to the starting XI after serving a suspension from his red card against Angers, bringing back much-needed attacking powers
  • Fight for start: Elye Wahi recently unlocked his potential with a stellar performance for Marseille in a 5-0 win against Strasbourg, making a statement for more minutes in upcoming matches

Team news PSG!

  • Injuries: Heading into Sunday’s match, Presnel Kimpembe, Lucas Hernandez, and Goncalo Ramos will watch from the sidelined due to injuries. Meanwhile, the former has returned to training
  • Returns: Randal Kolo Muani made his return from an ankle strain by coming off the bench against PSV and is expected to make the starting XI for this crucial trip
  • Starters: PSG’s defensive regulars Nuno Mendes, Marquinhos, and Achraf Hakimi have established themselves as a formidable trio, conceding the league’s fewest goals, and should be in full force against Marseille

H2H statistics

We take a look at their last 34 meetings

  • PSG had 25 wins, Marseille had 4 wins, and 5 games were drawn
  • These matches featured an average of 2.80 goals per game
  • In their last meetings, PSG won by a 2-0 final score

Latest results Marseille

  • 3 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss in their last 5 matches
  • 11 goals scored in their last 5 matches. Average 2.20 goals per match
  • They won 5-0 against Montpellier during their last match

Latest results PSG

  • 2 wins, 2 draws, and 1 loss in their last 5 matches
  • 9 goals scored in their last 5 matches. Average 1.80 goals per match
  • They drew 1-1 with PSV during their last match
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