France vs Italy prediction

France will kick start their Nations League campaign against Italy after Euro 2024 where they lost in the semi final to eventual champions, Spain. The Les Blues are one of the three winners of the competition but their defence of the title last time out did not go as planned, as they were eliminated in the group stage.

Despite reaching the semi final at the Euros, the French did not play to their full potential-managing to record six goals, with two being own goals and one a penalty. Manager, Didier Deschamps will be looking to get the best out of his new look squad with some regulars left out of the squad and some new additions.

Italy on their part will be looking to better their third place finishes on two occasions, by going all the way to lift the title. However, their Euro 2024 form does not suggest they are in good standing to get a positive result away in France.

Therefore, we are backing the French team to come away with positive result in this fixture and we have settled for France Win (DNB) as our main France vs Italy prediction.

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Main tip: France Win (DNB)

Our France vs Italy predictions

According to the statistics and the odds of the bookmakers, we suggest the following tips:

Prediction 1: France Win (DNB)

3 reasons why we back France Win (DNB) in this match:

• France only lost one of their last 5 matches
• Italy are winless in their last 3 competitive games
• France won their last 3 H2H meetings quite comfortably

Odds for this bet

Helabet offers competitive odds for the bet “France Win (DNB)”

The odd of 1.28 means that the bookmakers are calculating with a likelihood of approx. 78% chance that France will win this or stakes returned if the match ends in a draw.

Odds comparison for France Win (DNB)

Helabet – odd 1.28
Paripesa – odd 1.28

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Prediction 2: Under 3.5 Goals

3 reasons why we are predicting Under 3.5 Goals in this match:

• France’s last 5 matches produced less than four total goals
• Italy’s last 5 matches recorded under 3.5 goals
• 3 of their last 5 H2H meetings produced under 3.5 goals

Odds for this bet

Paripesa offers competitive odds for “Under 3.5 Goals”

The odd of 1.30 means that the bookmakers are calculating with a likelihood of approx. 77% chance that there will be less than four total goals recorded in this match.

Odds comparisons for Under 3.5 goals

Paripesa – odd 1.30
1xBet – odd 1.29

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Prediction 3: Over 9.5 Corners

3 reasons why we are predicting Over 9.5 Corner kicks in this match:

• 3 of France’s last 5 matches produced Over 9.5 Corners
• 3 of Italy’s last 5 matches recorded at least 10 Corner kicks
• Italy averaged 10.2 Corner kicks in their last 5 matches

Statistics for France vs Italy Prediction

Team news France!

• New call up: Bayern’s Michael Olise has been handed a first call up after a fine perfomance at the Paris 2024 Olympic games
• Returning players: Wesley Fofana is returning to the French national team after being out for over a year
• Players not called up: The trio of Benjamin Pavard, Adrien Rabiot and Kingsley Coman have all been left out of the squad, while Olivier Giroud has called time on his France career

Team news Italy!

• New call up: Leicester City’s Caleb Okoli has been handed his first ever call up to the Azzuri along with Atalanta’s Marco Brescianini
• Returning players: Sandro Tonali who served a 10-month ban for betting offences has been handed a recall. Moise Kean is also returning to the squad for the first time since November 2023
• Players not called up: Nicolo Barella is not included in the squad as he is expected to undergo a Nose surgery due to sinus issues

H2H statistics

Considering the last 12 meetings between these teams:

• France has 5 wins, Italy has 3 wins and there have been 4 draws
• The matches produced an average of 2.66 goals per match
• Their last meeting ended in a 3-1 win for France

Latest results France

• 1 win, 3 draws and 1 loss in their last 5 matches
• 3 goals were scored in those matches. Average of 0.60 goals per match
• They lost 2-1 against Spain in their last match

Latest results Italy

• 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses in their last 5 matches
• 4 goals were scored in those matches. Average of 0.680 goals per match
• They lost their last match against Switzerland 2-0

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