Germany vs Hungary Nations League prediction

Germany will look to cast away the demons of the UEFA Nations League when they welcome familiar foes Hungary. Die Mannschaft have struggled in the UNL, winning just three of their 16 matches (D9, L4), and will look to turn the tide as they begin a new era without some of their stars that have called time on their international career including Thomas Müller, Manuel Neuer, Toni Kroos and Ilkay Gündogan. They failed to win the Euros on home soil in the summer, falling in the quarters to eventual champions Spain in Stuttgart. Coach Julian Nagelsmann stayed on the job and he is now tasked with picking up the pieces and rebuilding the team back to the top tier where they have always been.

Hungary lost 2-0 to Germany in the Euros and failed to make it past the group stage. That loss was their third in 5 matches and it forced coach Marco Rossi to ring some changes ahead of this match as it was quite at odds with their previous performances that had seen his charges go unbeaten in the previous 14 games (W9, D5).In contrast Hungary have had a relatively steady rise in this competition since its inception in 2018, securing successive promotions and maintaining their place in League A in the last edition. That campaign included two standout roads wins, thrashing England 4-0 at Wembley before beating Germany 1-0 in Leipzig. They’ll be looking to rekindle their Nations League magic once again

With Germany looking to turn over a new leaf and make an impression on this competition, we can expect a charged atmosphere and a packed Merkur Spiel-Arena (Düsseldorf). We fancy the home side, buoyed by the home crowd to come out firing from all cylinders. They have played well at home lately and we are backing the trend to hold here hence why we are picking Germany to overcome a -1 handicap as our opening Germany vs Hungary prediction for this clash

During this international break, you can still win with our well-researched Nations League predictions for other upcoming matches from the competition

Main Tip: Handicap -1 Germany Win

Our Germany vs Hungary predictions

According to the statistics and the odds of the bookmakers, we suggest the following tips:

Prediction 1: Handicap -1 Germany Win

Here are 3 reasons why we are backing Germany to win by 2 or more clear goals:

• Germany have won 3 of their last 5 matches by at least 2 goals
• They have also been on fire at home lately winning the last 3 home games by at least a 2 goal margin
• Hungary is in a bit of a freefall losing 3 of their last 5 matches overall, and conceding at least 2 goals in these losses

Odds for this bet

1Win offers competitive odds for the bet “Handicap -1 Germany Win”

The odd of 1.80 means that the bookmakers are calculating with a likelihood of approx. 56% chance that Germany will win this match with a margin of 2 or more goals

Odds comparison for Handicap -1 Germany Win

1Win – odd 1.80
10Bet – odd 1.78

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Prediction 2: Both Teams to Score

3 reasons why we are backing both teams to score in this match:

• 2 of the last 4 H2H matches had both teams scoring
• Hungary have scored at least a goal in 10 of their last 11 matches
• Germany’s defence has been far from solid, failing to keep a clean sheet in 4 of their last 6 matches

Odds for this bet

Paripesa offers competitive odds for “Both Teams to Score”

The odd of 1.98 means that the bookmakers are calculating with a likelihood of approx. 51% that both teams will find the back of the net in this match

Odds comparisons Both Teams to Score

Paripesa – odd 1.98
1xBet – odd 1.97

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Prediction 3: Kai Havertz Anytime Scorer

Here’s why we feel there is value in backing Germany forward Kai Havertz to score in this match:

• He is the leading target man in the new-look Germany team. He has already scored 4 goals this calender year
• Havertz is also in great form not just for country but for his club Arsenal, starting the season with aplomb with 3 goal contributions in 3 appearances (2 goals, 1 assist)
• He is also on penalty duties for Germany and will be the first in line should the team win a penalty in this match

Statistics for Germany vs Hungary Prediction

Team News Germany

• Retirements: Germany will be without Thomas Müller, Manuel Neuer, Toni Kroos and Ilkay Gündogan who have all recently hanged their boots after many years of service for Die Nationalelf
• Skipper Duties: With all these long-serving players no longer available, Julian Nagelsmann has appointed Bayern Munich’s Joshua Kimmich as Germany’s captain, which therefore means the versatile 29-year-old will continue at right-back for his country
• New Engine: Stuttgart’s midfielder Angelo Stiller will be looking to make his international debut here; However Aleksandar Pavlovic, Robert Andrich and Pascal Gross are the favourites to fill the midfield void left by Toni Kroos and Ilkay Gundogan
• Missing in Action: Antonio Rudiger has been rested, while Leroy Sane is short of match fitness and was not named for this match
• Reloading the arsenal: Florian Wirtz and Jamal Musiala are likely to start in attack, supporting either Kai Havertz or the newly acquired West Ham forward Niclas Fullkrug upfront

Team News Hungary

• Dropped: Following the disappointing Euro performance, coach Marco Rossi has left out of the squad Attila Fiola, Laszlo Kleinheisler, Adam Lang, Callum Styles and Atilla Szalai
• New Call Ups: Balázs Tóth, Bence Gergényi, Gábor Vas, Antal Yaakobishvili and Tamás Nikitscher have all been named as newcomers to the team and the latter four could potentially set to make their first senior appearances
• Reliable Soldiers: Rossi will retain the services of Liverpool’s Dominik Szoboszlai as captain for the visitors, while goalkeeper Peter Gulacsi and centre-back Willi Orban – are also expected to start
• He’s back: Barnabas Varga has recovered from the serious head injury he sustained against Scotland and could feature here
• Leading the attack: Freiburg’s Rolland Sallai of Freiburg who is the top-scoring Bundesliga player in Hungary’s squad, with 20 goals to date, is expected to start as the centre-forward

H2H statistics

Assessing the last 8 meetings between these teams:

• Germany have won 4, Hungary 2 and 2 games were drawn
• The goal average in these matches is 2.88
• The last encounter ended 2-0 in favor of Germany

Latest results Germany

• 3 wins and 2 draws in their last 5 matches
• 11 goals scored in these last 5 matches. Average of 2.20 goals per match
• Drew 1-1 with Spain in their Euro 2024 1/4 Final before losing in Extra Time

Latest results Hungary

• 2 wins and 3 losses in their last 5 matches
• 7 goals scored in these last 5 matches. Average 1.40 goals per match
• Edged Scotland 1-0 in their last Euro 2024 Group A match but still finished 3rd in the group behind Germany and Switzerland

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