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Italy - Belgium
UEFA Nations League
Thu, 10.10.2024 – 9:45 PM GMT+3
our main tip:
DC - Italy/Draw

Italy vs Belgium prediction

With 2 wins from 2 games, Italy sit top of their UEFA Nations League Group A2 and will maintain their position if they can avoid defeat here. The Azzurri have infused their squad with some new, young talent under coach Luciano Spalletti and so far it seems to be paying dividends. Playmaker Nicolo Barella misses out due to injury, but he should be adequately covered in midfield as Italy look to make it 2 wins in a row in a tough group.

Belgium will be looking to bounce back after losing 2-0 to France in their last game, a result which saw captain Kevin De Bruyne question his teammates’ mentality. The Belgian captain is among the regular names missing out this time due to injury alongside Amadou Onana, while veteran striker Romelu Lukaku did not get a call-up. Belgium need a result here to turn around their fortunes as they have only 1 win in their last 4 games (1 draw, 2 losses).

Based on recent form, Italy seems to be in a better shape than Belgium, and this is also supported by the head-to-head statistics in which Italy have won all the last 3 encounters Hence, our Italy vs Belgium prediction is Double Chance – Italy/Draw.

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Main tip: Double Chance – Italy/Draw

Our Union Italy vs Belgium Predictions

According to the statistics and the odds of the bookmakers, we suggest the following tips:

Prediction 1: Double Chance – Italy/Draw

  • Italy got 2 wins in their last 2 matches
  • Belgium got 1 win in their last 4 matches (1 draw, 2 losses)
  • Italy won all the last 3 head-to-head matches against Belgium

Odds for this bet

Helabet offers competitive odds for the bet “Double Chance – Italy/Draw”

The odd of 1.33 means that the bookmakers are calculating with a likelihood of approx. 75% chance that Italy will win or draw in this match.

Odds comparison for DC – Italy/Draw

Helabet – odds 1.33
Betwinner – odds 1.33

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Prediction 2: Both Teams To Score

  • 3 of Italy’s last 4 games had both teams scoring
  • 4 of the last 5 head-to-head games saw both teams scoring
  • Italy average 1.20 goals and Belgium 1.00 goals per game in their last 5 games respectively

Odds for this bet

1XBet offers competitive odds for “Both Teams To Score”

The odd of 1.77 means that the bookmakers are calculating with a likelihood of approx. 56% chance that each team will score a goal in this match.

Odds comparisons for Both Teams To Score

1XBet – odds 1.77
Melbet – odds 1.77

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Prediction 3: Over 3.5 Bookings

  • 3 of Italy’s last 5 games had more than 3 bookings
  • 2 of Belgium’s last 3 games had more than 3 bookings
  • All the last 4 head-to-head games had 3 or more bookings

Statistics for Italy vs Belgium Prediction

Italy Team News

  • First call-up: Daniel Maldini, son of the famous Paolo Maldini, has received his first senior call-up for Italy for the upcoming matches against Belgium and Israel. He plays as an attacker for Monza. Other new faces include Juventus goalkeeper Michele Di Gregorio, Roma midfielder Niccolo Pisilli and Matteo Gabbia of AC Milan
  • Injuries: Inter Milan’s Nicolo Barella is out with a thigh strain and was not picked for the upcoming international matches. He has missed the last 3 games for his club due to this injury. Federico Chiesa of Liverpool also misses after his recent injury setback, same to Napoli goalkeeper Alex Meret, also with injury
  • Hot streak: Striker Mateo Retegui has scored 7 goals in his first 7 Serie A games for Atalanta, a record previously held by only 4 Italian players, including Roberto Baggio and Mario Balotelli. Retegui, currently joint top-scorer in Serie A, is now a favorite to start for Italy in the upcoming matches

Belgium Team News

  • Injuries: Manchester City midfielder and Belgium captain Kevin De Bruyne is out of the national team squad due to an injury that has seen him miss the last four games for his club. Aston Villa’s Amadou Onana is also out with a hamstring injury
  • Replacement: Aster Vranckx of VfL Wolfsburg has been included in the latest Belgian squad as a replacement for the injured Amadou Onana
  • Hot form: Midfielder Arne Engels of Celtic earned another call-up to the national team after earning his first cap for the country in the last international break. He has been good for Celtic this season with 2 goals and 2 assists already in the new season
  • Dropped: Napoli striker Romelu Lukaku was not named in the Belgium squad despite a good showing in recent games where he has managed 3 goals and 4 assists for Napoli in 5 league games. He also missed Belgium’s last 2 fixtures while he was finalizing his move from Chelsea to Napoli
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H2H statistics

We look at the last 6 meetings between these two teams:

  • Italy got 5 wins, Belgium 1 win, there were no draws
  • These matches scored an average of 3.00 goals per match
  • The last time they met Italy won 2-1

Latest results Italy

  • 2 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses in their last 5 matches
  • 6 goals scored in their last 5 matches. Average 1.20 goals per match
  • They beat Israel 2-1 in their last match

Latest results Belgium

  • 2 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses in their last 5 matches
  • 5 goals scored in their last 5 matches. Average 1.00 goals per match
  • They lost 0-2 to France in their last match
ODDS COMPARISON
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