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Italy - Israel
UEFA Nations League
Mon, 14.10.2024 – 9:45 PM GMT+3
our main tip:
HT/FT - Italy/Italy

Italy vs Israel prediction

Italy will be aiming for their fourth consecutive win against Israel as they strive to maintain control of Group 2 in the UEFA Nations League A. They will be hosting Israel, whom they narrowly defeated 2-1 last month. Frattesi scored the opening goal for Italy, followed by Kean’s strike in the second half. Although VAR disallowed Tonali’s goal, Abu Fani scored a consolation goal for Israel in the 90th minute. Italy’s victory opened up a 3-point lead in the group standings after the second round of fixtures.

Israel currently sits at the bottom of the group and may attribute their position to not having a home advantage, as they host their games in another country. However, securing a win against Italy on the road will be a tough challenge for them. Despite giving Italy a tough match in their previous encounter, Israel will need to avoid relegation to League B and put an end to the two recent defeats they have suffered.

Israel possesses some promising young talents, which could potentially trouble Italy as it did in the previous meeting. Nevertheless, Israel has failed to defeat Italy in either half, despite managing a draw in the second half in the last match. Italy has shown signs of struggle in the second half in their last two games. Therefore, we are backing the HT/FT 1/1.

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Main tip: HT/FT – Italy/Italy

Our Italy vs Isreal predictions

According to the statistics and the odds of the bookmakers, we suggest the following tips:

Prediction 1: HT/FT-Italy/Italy

3 reasons why we are backing the HT/FT-1/1 market:

  • Italy has maintained a 100% record in the Nations League, winning 2 group matches.
  • Israel lost at halftime and then lost the games at full-time in their 2 group matches.
  • In their last 6 H2H meetings, Italy led at halftime and won at full time in 4 of those matches.

Odds for this bet

1Win offers competitive odds for the bet “HT/FT – Italy/Italy

The odd of 1.67 means that the bookmakers are calculating with a likelihood of approx. 60% chance that Italy will win at halftime and eventually win at full-time.

Odds comparison for HT/FT – Italy/Italy

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Prediction 2: Under 10.5 Corners

3 reasons why we are banking on Under 10.5 Corners in this match:

  • Italy’s last three matches have resulted in fewer than 11 corner kicks.
  • In the previous four matches, Israel has not had more than 11 corners.
  • Their recent head-to-head game also had fewer than 11 corner kicks.

Odds for this bet

Paripesa offers competitive odds for Under 10.5 Corners

The odd of 1.75 means that the bookmakers are calculating with a likelihood of approx. 57% chance that they will be fewer than 11 corner kicks In this match.

Odds comparisons for Under 10.5 Corners

Paripesa – odd 1.75
Betway- odd 1.66

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Prediction 3: Over 2.5 Goals

3 reasons we support Over 2.5 goals for this match:

  • The recent meeting between the two teams had 3 goals scored.
  • In their recent 5 matches, Israel has had 3 or more goals scored at full-time.
  • Italy’s last 2 games had 3 or more goals at full-time, and we expect this trend to continue.

Statistics for Italy vs Isreal Prediction

Italy’s team news!

  • Starters: Luciano Spalletti is likely to start with Donnarumma as the goalkeeper, with Di Lorenzo, Bastoni, and Calafiori in the defensive line. Bellanova, Barella, Ricci, Tonali, and Domarco are expected to be in the midfield, supporting Raspadori and Retegui up front.
  • Injuries: Moise Kean from Fiorentina is out due to a back problem, while Liverpool’s new signing, Chiesa, remains unfit due to a lack of match fitness. Atalanta’s Scalvini and Scamacca are also out due to ACL injuries.
  • Call-ups: Keep an eye on Daniel Maldini, son of the legend Paolo Maldini, and Niccolo Pisilli, as they have been called up for national duty by Spalletti.

Israel’s team news!

  • Starters: Gerafi should be in goal, with Feingold, Nachimas, Shlomo, and Leidner in defense. Abu Fani, Kanichowsky, Abada, Peretz, and Gloukh should rally behind Baribo.
  • Injuries: Team manager Ran Ben Shimon will have to do without the 20-year-old striker Dor Turgeman and captain Eli Dasa due to injuries.
  • Doubts: The team hopes that Tottenham Hotspur striker Manor Solomon, who is currently with Leeds, will join them, despite missing four of the team’s games due to injury.

H2H statistics

Looking at the last 4 meetings between these teams:

  • Italy has 3 wins, while Israel has 0 wins and 1 draw.
  • Their match had an average of 2.00 goals.
  • Italy won 2-1 during their last meeting.

Latest results Italy

  • 2 wins, 2 draws, and 1 loss in their last 5 matches
  • 8 goals were scored in their last 5 matches. Average 1.60 goals per match
  • They drew 2-2 against Belgium during their last match.

Latest results Israel

  • 1 win, and 4 losses in their last 5 matches
  • 7 goals were scored in their last 5 matches. Average 1.40 goals per match
  • They lost 4-1 against France during their last match
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