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Arsenal - Southampton
Premier League
Sat, 05.10.2024 – 5:00 PM GMT+3
our main tip:
HC - 3.5 Southampton

Arsenal vs Southampton prediction

Arsenal is on an impressive run of 10 games without defeat. Their recent 2-0 victory against PSG in the UEFA Champions League was their third consecutive win after two draws, one against City in the EPL and a goalless draw against Atalanta in their UEFA opener match. Out of these 10 games, they have secured 7 wins and 3 draws, and they are set to host Southampton in the EPL week 7 on Saturday.

Southampton, on the other hand, faced a narrow defeat against Newcastle in their opening fixture of the EPL, followed by 3 more defeats. They salvaged a draw against newly promoted side Ipswich but lost in their week 6 game against Bournemouth. Having been relegated in the 22/23 season, their comeback has been shaky and they are yet to find form and collect maximum points.

Arsenal is yet to face a defeat in the 24/25 competitive calendar, and they appear to be in great form. However, Southampton can take advantage of tired legs, especially after Arsenal’s recent game against PSG. The last time these teams faced each other was in the 22/23 season, resulting in a 3-3 draw. Despite Southampton’s recent struggles, they have found the target, making them a potential threat to Arsenal.

In conclusion, Arsenal looks strong, but Southampton might capitalize on their recent exertions. The prediction for the Arsenal vs Southampton match is a handicap of -3.5 in favor of Southampton.

Check out our latest posted EPL predictions featuring matches across English football and place your bets today!

Main tip: HC – 3.5 Southampton Win

Our Arsenal vs Southampton predictions

According to the statistics and the odds of the bookmakers, we suggest the following tips:

Prediction 1: HC – 3.5 Southampton Win

3 reasons why we are backing Asian Handicap -3.5 Southampton win:

  • Southampton have not lost by a 4-goal margin in their previous 5 games.
  • Arsenal have not won 2 of their previous outings by a 4-goal margin, making it the fourth game in 5 of their previous matches.
  • In the head-to-head matchups, the Saints have not lost to the Gunners by a 4-goal margin, hence a handicap of a 4-goal advantage for Southampton is likely.

Odds for this bet

1Win offers competitive odds for the bet “HC – 3.5 Southampton Win

The odd of 1.30 means that the bookmakers are calculating with a likelihood of approx. 77% chance that Southampton will not lose this match by 4 goal margin.

Odds comparison for HC – 3.5 Southampton Win

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Prediction 2: Over 8.5 Corners

3 reasons why we are banking on Over 8.5 corners in this match:

  • In the last 5 matches, Arsenal has had over 9 corners in games against other English clubs.
  • Similarly, in 4 out of their last 5 matches, Southampton has been involved in over 9 corner kicks.
  • Additionally, in the 8 previous head-to-head matches between the two teams, there were over 9 corner kicks in each game.

Odds for this bet

Paripesa offers competitive odds for Over 8.5 Goals

The odd of 1.25 means that the bookmakers are calculating with a likelihood of approx. 80% chance that there will be 9 or more corners in this match.

Odds comparisons for Over 8.5 Corners

Paripesa – odd 1.25
bet365- odd 1.25

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Prediction 3: Southampton Over 0.5 Goals

3 reasons we support Southampton Over 0.5 goals in this match:

  • The previous 7 meetings between Southampton and Arsenal saw Southampton score in 6 games.
  • In their last 5 matches, Southampton scored in 4 games, including the last 3 matches.
  • In Arsenal’s previous 5 games, they conceded in 3 games, so the team they are facing might be able to score at least once against them.

Statistics for Arsenal vs Southampton Prediction

Arsenal’s team news!

  • Injuries: Odegaard is still recovering from an ankle injury, while Tierney continues to be sidelined with a muscle injury. Tomiyasu is also unfit due to a knee injury, along with White. Zinchenko is missing due to a calf injury.
  • Starters: Raya has been the goalkeeper since joining from Brentford this year. Timber, Saliba, Gabriel, and Calafiori should continue in their defensive roles, with Rice and Partey in midfield. Saka, Trossard, and Martinelli will lead the attack.
  • Doubtful: Mikel Merino returned to full training last week after a shoulder injury but missed the PSG game. He is likely to feature in the upcoming tie.

Southampton’s team news!

  • Injuries: First-choice goalkeeper and Irish international Gavin Bazunu is still sidelined with an Achilles tendon injury. In addition, Irish midfielder Smallbone has missed the last 3 games due to a thigh injury. Forward Sulemana from Ghana is also recovering from an ankle injury.
  • Starters: With Bazunu out, Ramsdale is in goal. The defensive lineup is expected to include Taylor, Bednarek, Harwood-Bellis, and Sugawara. Ugochukwu was substituted for Stewart, and Downes and Fraser were substituted for Aribo and Fernandes in midfield. Conte was replaced by Diaz who will work alongside Dibling, and Martin will determine the starting lineup up front.

H2H statistics

We take a look at their previous 39 meetings:

  • Arsenal with 19 wins, while Southampton has 9 wins and 11 draws.
  • The average goals scored is 2.90 per game in their last 27 meetings
  • The last meeting ended 3-3 at full-time

Latest results Arsenal

  • 3 wins, and 2 draws in their last 5 matches
  • 13 goals were scored in their last 5 matches. Average 2.60 goals per match
  • They won 2-0 against PSG during their last match.

Latest results Southampton

  • 3 losses, and 2 draws in their last 5 matches
  • 4 goals were scored in their last 5 matches. Average 0.80 goals per match
  • They lost 3-1 against Bournemouth during their last match
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