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Jannik Sinner - Daniil Medvedev
ATP US Open 2024
Wed, 04.09.2024 – 7:00 PM GMT+3
our tip:
Tie-Break YES

Jannik Sinner vs Daniil Medvedev US Open Prediction

This is perhaps the biggest match-up so far at the US Open 2024 as world number 1 Jannik Sinner takes on Daniil Medvedev, ranked 5th, in the quarter-final. The two are the only grand slam winners left in this tournament after Novak Djokovic and Carlos Alcaraz were shown the door earlier. This year, Sinner beat Medvedev 3-2 at the Australian Open final while the Russian replied in kind at Wimbledon with a similar scoreline at the quarter-final stage.

Italian Jannik Sinner has cruised through the last three rounds at this year’s US Open without dropping a set against Alex Michelsen, Christopher O’Connell, and Tommy Paul since his 3-1 win over Mackenzie McDonald in the first round. Sinner is chasing the first US Open title of his career and the quarter-final is the furthest he has reached before. He has been impressive on hard court where he has won 4 of his 5 titles so far this season.

Medvedev’s run at this tournament is somewhat similar to Sinner’s. After a 3-1 win over Dusan Lajovic in the first round, he won the next three rounds in straight sets against Fabian Marozsan, Flavio Cobolli, and Nuno Borges. Medvedev last won the US Open in 2021. Medvedev is yet to win a title this year and lost the finals in Melbourne and Indian Wells. Nevertheless, he has traditionally been impressive on hard court and that is showing at this tournament.

We have with us a match pitting two top players who have shown great form at the tournament and will be going for nothing short of victory. Their last two grand slam meetings both ended in 5 sets, and we expect another hard fought match with one or more sets being decided by a tie-breaker. Our Jannik Sinner vs Daniil Medvedev prediction is Tie-Break YES.

Tip: Tie-Break YES

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Head-to-Head stats Jannik Sinner vs Daniil Medvedev

  • Medvedev leads Sinner 7-5 from previous meetings, 6-5 on hard court
  • The last time they met was at Wimbledon 2024 quarter-final. Medvedev beat Sinner 3-2 (6-7, 6-4, 7-6, 2-6, 6-3)

Latest results Jannik Sinner

  • 5 wins in his last 5 matches
  • 52-5 win-loss record this season
  • He beat Tommy Paul 3-0 (7-6, 7-6, 6-1) in the last round

Latest results Daniil Medvedev

  • 4 wins and 1 loss in his last 5 matches
  • 39-13 win-loss record this season
  • He beat Nuno Borges 3-0 (6-0, 6-1, 6-3) in the last round

ATP Rankings

  • Ranking from: Tue, 03.09.2023
  • Jannik Sinner: # 1
  • Daniil Medvedev: # 5
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Our tip and odds in detail

According to the statistics above and the odds of the bookmakers, we suggest the following:

Bet on Tie-Break YES

Paripesa offers the best odds for the bet “Tie-Break YES
The odd of 1.84 means that the bookmakers are calculating with a likelihood of approx. 54% chance that there will be one set decided on a tie-break in this match.

Odds comparison for Tie-Break YES

Paripesa – odd 1.84
Betwinner – odd 1.84

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