Carlos Alcaraz vs Matteo Berrettini 10.07.2023
Top seed Carlos Alcaraz was pushed to the limit in the third round by Chilean Nicolas Jarry. The burly South American with a big serve pounded at world number one and put him on the edge at various stages in the match. However, Alacaraz survived the onslaught and sailed to the 5th round after winning 3-1. That was the only set he has dropped in an otherwise flawless start to the tournament. The test he got from Jarry could prove crucial down the line as he is on a collision course with an even better server in Djokovic in his half of the draw.
Italian Matteo Berrettini was not initially viewed as a threat to Alcaraz but his showing at this tournament have seen him increasingly come up as a primary challenger to the Spaniard’s rematch with Djokovic. The big-serving Italian struggled with injury last season but he seems to be finding his rhythm at just the right time. When fully fit, he has proven to be a giant slayer in the past including in 2021 when he made it all the way to the final where he lost to Djokovic in the final at the Meadow.
Although Alcaraz is expected to win here, we do not anticipate a walk in the park. There were some chinks exposed in his armor in the last round. We expect the hard-hitting Berrettini to test some of that to start the match. As such we fancy the opening set of the match to be a close affair and we are backing at least 10 games to be played here.
Tip: First Set Over 9.5 Games
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Head-to-Head stats Carlos Alcaraz vs Matteo Berrettini
These two players have never met before.
Latest results Carlos Alcaraz
- 5 wins in his last 5 matches
- 42-4 win-loss record this season
- He beat Nicolas Jarry 3-1 (6-3, 6-7, 6-3, 7-5) in the last round
Latest results Matteo Berrettini
- 3 wins and 2 losses in his last 5 matches
- 7-7 win-loss record this season
- He beat Alexander Zverev 3-0 (6-3, 7-6, 7-6) in the last round
ATP Rankings
- Ranking from: Thu, 10.07.2023
- Carlos Alcaraz: # 1
- Alexandre Muller: # 38
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Our tip and odds in detail
According to the statistics above and the odds of the bookmakers, we suggest the following:
Bet on First Set – Over 9.5 Games
1xBet offers the best odds for the bet “First Set – Over 9.5 Games”
The odd of 1.50 means that the bookmakers are calculating with a likelihood of approx. 67% chance that the first set of this game will have at least 10 games played
Odds comparison for First Set – Over 9.5 Games
1xBet – odd 1.50
Bet365 – odd 1.49
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