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Carlos Alcaraz - Tommy Paul
ATP Wimbledon Open
Tue, 09.07.2024 – 4:30 PM GMT+3
our tip:
Over 3.5 Total Sets

Carlos Alcaraz vs Tommy Paul Prediction

A good rivalry has been developing between Carlos Alcaraz and Tommy Paul in recent years. They are currently tied at 2-2 in the head-to-head count, and 3 of these 4 encounters went down to a decisive set. Paul beat Alcaraz at the Canadian Masters in both 2022 and 2023. Alcaraz got his revenge at Miami Open 2023 and Cincinnati 2023. This next meet up is more interesting in that they will be meeting each other on grass for the first time.

Carlos Alcaraz is coming off a 4-set victory over Ugo Humbert in a match that was decided in 38 games. Just in like in previous matches so far in this tournament, Alcaraz did not play his best tennis, but still managed to find a way to win. The Spaniard struggled to hold serve in the 3rd set and early in the 4th set, but but did enough to eventually secure victory.

Tommy Paul reached the quarter-final of Wimbledon for the first time in his career. This is no surprise since the American has been excellent this season with a 31-10 win-loss record. Currently ranked 13th in the world, Paul’s record on grass this season is even more impressive at 10-1. He has just come from winning the ATP London at the Queen’s Club a few weeks ago.

All indications are that we are in for a long-drawn battle of exciting tennis when these two in-form players meet, and it will take more than 3 sets to decide the winner. Hence, our Carlos Alcaraz vs Tommy Paul prediction is Over 3.5 Total Sets.

Tip: Over 3.5 Total Sets

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Head-to-Head stats Carlos Alcaraz vs Tommy Paul

These two players have met 4 times before:

  • Tied at 2-2, but never met each other on grass
  • The last time they met, Alcaraz won 7-6(6) 6-7(0) 6-3 in Cincinnati 2023, 3rd round

Latest results Carlos Alcaraz

  • 4 wins and 1 loss in his last 5 matches
  • 30-6 win-loss record this season
  • He beat Ugo Humbert 3-1 (6-3, 6-4, 1-6, 7-5) in the last round

Latest results Tommy Paul

  • 5 wins in his last 5 matches
  • 31-10 win-loss record this season
  • He beat Roberto Bautista-Agut 3-0 (6-2, 7-6, 6-2) in the last round

ATP Rankings

  • Ranking from: Tue, 09.07.2024
  • Carlos Alcaraz: # 3
  • Tommy Paul: # 13
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Our tip and odds in detail

According to the statistics above and the odds of the bookmakers, we suggest the following:

Bet on Over 3.5 Total Sets

Paripesa offers the best odds for the bet “Over 3.5 Total Sets
The odd of 1.62 means that the bookmakers are calculating with a likelihood of approx. 62% chance that there will be a total of at least 4 sets in this match.

Odds comparison for Over 3.5 Total Sets

Paripesa – odd 1.62
Betwinner – odd 1.62

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